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email-lifecycle-offer-math

Evaluates one discount, free-shipping threshold, or referral reward against contribution margin. It shows cost per order, margin used, break-even sales lift, and code leakage concerns, then recommends one offer in plain language using the available product and order inputs.

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Prices one discount, free-shipping threshold or referral reward against contribution margin: cost per order, share of margin used, break-even lift, code leakage risks, and one recommended offer in two plain sentences. Use alone when you already have the offer, average order value and margin per product; otherwise run email-lifecycle.

gooseworks-ai/goose-skills1,272 stars(GitHub 1,272 + cccskills 0)

Run score Not tested

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Good for

  • Checking whether a proposed discount fits the margin
  • Comparing free shipping with a referral reward
  • Estimating the sales lift needed to break even

Files included (2)

  • SKILL.md2.3 KB
  • skill.meta.json265 B

SKILL.md (original)

Review the instructions the agent will receive before you install.

offer-math

Reads: ../email-lifecycle/references/segments-cadence-offers.md (ladder and formula); AOV and margin per product or category from lifecycle/program.md (marketer-stated); the standing first-order offer from the shared Standing offer: fact (else the Brand record's business facts, read with file_read; never a search snippet); product records for price.

Does:

  1. Check the offer is allowed: the standing offer, or a step of a ladder the marketer approved. Welcome never deeper than the standing offer; first cart reminder never discounted; no discount to returning full-price buyers in cart flows; no code twice in 30 days. Anything else is a proposal, not a draft.
  2. Compute contribution per order, discount cost per order, share of contribution used, and the break-even lift, with the inputs shown. Free shipping: cost = average shipping cost × share of orders newly qualifying. Rewards (referral): cost per successful referral both sides vs contribution of the referred first order. Subscriptions and apps: use the subscription formula in the reference (store fee, months retained).
  3. Leakage: shared vs unique code (if the sign-up form shows a shared code, repeat that code and flag the leakage as a proposal naming the popup edit — never switch it silently), stacking, exclusions, expiry, which segments see it (are full-price buyers in them?).
  4. Recommend one — usually the cheapest offer that does the job, or a non-discount value (free shipping, gift with purchase, early access) — in two plain sentences.
  5. Unknown margin: show cost per order in money, say "margin unknown", and do not call it affordable.

Writes: an offer box placed next to the flow or send that uses it, and into the "awaiting your yes" list. The approved depth is saved in lifecycle/program.md; the approved depth stays in the program sheet (a standing offer the marketer states is written at SKILL step 9).

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