aarrr-metrics
FreeMeasure and optimize growth using the AARRR (Pirate Metrics) framework with stage-specific KPIs and funnel analysis
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Turn your marketing into an event that makes people beg to buy before you even release the product Use when: **Launching a new product or course** and want to maximize first-day sales; **Building anticipation** for an upcoming offer instead of "surprise" launching; **Growing your email list** while simultaneously warming them up to buy; **Creating urgency without being sleazy** with legitimate scarcity; **Turning skeptics into buyers** through sequenced value delivery
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Turn your marketing into an event that makes people beg to buy before you even release the product
| Aspect | Details |
|---|---|
| Source | Launch (2014) + Product Launch Formula Course |
| Expert | Jeff Walker - Generated $1M+ in a single day, students have made $1B+ |
| Core Principle | "Give first and ask for the sale later" - deliver so much value during prelaunch that making the sale is almost an afterthought |
| Claude Does | You Decide |
|---|---|
| Structures video workflow | Final creative vision |
| Suggests shot compositions | Equipment selection |
| Creates storyboard templates | Brand aesthetics |
| Generates script frameworks | Final approval |
| Identifies technical requirements | Budget allocation |
This skill replaces the traditional "long sales page" approach with a Sideways Sales Letter - spreading your sales message across a sequence of valuable content delivered over 7-10 days.
Instead of one moment of decision, you create:
The result: 50% of sales typically happen on the LAST day of your launch, from an audience primed and ready to buy.
Plan a complete product launch sequence for my [product] targeting [audience].
Include pre-prelaunch, 3 PLC videos, and cart open/close email sequence.
Write the Prelaunch Content outline for PLC 1 (The Opportunity) for my
[course/product] that teaches [transformation].
Create the Cart Close Day email sequence (4 emails) for my [product]
using Jeff Walker's PLF urgency framework.
Design a Seed Launch strategy for validating my [product idea] with a
small audience before building the full course.
Map out the 9 Mental Triggers for my [product launch] - show me how to
incorporate each one throughout the sequence.
Purpose: Build anticipation and buzz before revealing anything.
Actions:
Example Email:
Subject: Something big is coming...
I've been working on something for the past 3 months.
It's not quite ready yet, but I wanted to give you a heads up because you've been with me for a while.
Before I finalize it, I need your help. What are your TWO biggest questions about [topic]?
Hit reply and let me know - I'll make sure to address them.
Hollywood Parallel: This is when trailers are released and actors appear on talk shows.
Release 3 pieces of Prelaunch Content (PLC) that deliver massive value while building toward your offer.
Answer: "What's possible?"
Structure:
Mental Triggers: Authority, Anticipation, Reciprocity
Example Hook:
"In the next 20 minutes, I'm going to show you the exact system that took me from $0 to $127,000 in my first launch - and why everything you've been told about [topic] is holding you back."
Answer: "Why should I believe it's possible for ME?"
Structure:
Mental Triggers: Social Proof, Trust, Community
Example:
"Meet Sarah. She was exactly where you are 6 months ago - overwhelmed, skeptical, and honestly pretty tired of 'gurus' making big promises. Here's what changed for her..."
Answer: "How will it feel to own this mastery?"
Structure:
Mental Triggers: Anticipation (peak), Likeability, Events
Transition to Offer:
"You've now seen what's possible, you've seen others do it, and you've gotten a taste of the process. Tomorrow, I'm going to show you how I can help you get there faster than you ever thought possible."
Purpose: Release tension, open doors, make sales.
Key Principle: Cart is only open for LIMITED time (5-7 days maximum).
Daily Email Strategy:
| Day | Focus | # Emails |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | "The doors are open!" + excitement | 2 |
| 2 | Case study - transformation story | 1 |
| 3 | FAQ - handle objections | 1 |
| 4 | "Closing tomorrow!" + bonus announcement | 1 |
| 5 | Cart Close Day (see Step 4) | 3-4 |
Day 1 Emails:
Important: Don't be afraid to sell. You're being honest about deadlines.
The Big Day: Typically 50% of sales happen on the LAST day.
Email Sequence:
| Time | Purpose | |
|---|---|---|
| Morning | Simple reminder | "Deadline is tonight at midnight" |
| Midday | Story-based | Why they want it, how they'll feel missing out |
| Evening | "Now or never" | Short, direct, deadline emphasis |
| 1hr before | "LAST CHANCE" | Final push (optional but powerful) |
Morning Email Example:
Subject: [CLOSING TONIGHT] Last chance for [Product]
Quick reminder: The doors close tonight at midnight.
Once they close, you won't be able to get [Product] at this price (or possibly at all) for at least another year.
[Link to join]
This is your last chance.
Final Hour Email Example:
Subject: 1 HOUR LEFT
In 60 minutes, this page goes away: [Link]
If you've been on the fence, now is the time to decide.
I'll see you on the inside - or I'll see you next year.
[Name]
Weave these throughout your entire launch:
| Trigger | How to Apply |
|---|---|
| Authority | Deliver real expertise in PLC content |
| Reciprocity | Give valuable content before asking to buy |
| Trust | Share failures alongside successes |
| Anticipation | Build to the open cart reveal |
| Likeability | Share personal stories, be human |
| Events/Rituals | Make the launch feel special and time-bound |
| Community | Enable comments, showcase participation |
| Scarcity | Real deadline, limited enrollment |
| Social Proof | Testimonials, "X people enrolled" |
Pre-Prelaunch Email:
Subject: I need your help with something...
I've been secretly working on a new photography training.
But before I finalize it, I need to know: What are your TWO biggest frustrations with getting sharp, professional-looking photos?
Hit reply - I read every response.
PLC 1 - The Opportunity:
PLC 2 - The Transformation:
PLC 3 - The Ownership Experience:
Cart Close Emails:
Launch Timeline:
Week 1: Pre-Prelaunch
├── Day 1: "Something's coming" teaser
├── Day 3: Survey - "What's your #1 business challenge?"
└── Day 5: "Your responses blew me away - here's what I'm building"
Week 2-3: Prelaunch Content
├── Day 8: PLC 1 - "The 3 reasons most businesses plateau at $10K/month"
├── Day 10: PLC 1 reminder + engagement
├── Day 12: PLC 2 - "How Maria went from stuck to $47K months"
├── Day 14: PLC 2 engagement + exercise
├── Day 16: PLC 3 - "The 90-day blueprint revealed"
└── Day 18: "Tomorrow the doors open..."
Week 4: Open Cart
├── Day 19: OPEN - "We're live!"
├── Day 20: Case study email
├── Day 21: FAQ + objection handling
├── Day 22: Bonus announcement + "closing tomorrow"
├── Day 23: CLOSE - 4 emails (morning, noon, evening, final hour)
Open Cart Day 1:
Subject: The doors are OPEN (finally!)
After 3 weeks of showing you what's possible...
After you've seen Maria's story, and Tom's breakthrough, and the exact blueprint I use with my private clients...
The Business Accelerator is officially open for enrollment.
But only until Friday at midnight.
Here's what you get: [Full stack of value]
Join now: [Link]
See you inside, [Name]
## Pre-Prelaunch (1-2 weeks before)
- [ ] Teaser email sent ("something's coming")
- [ ] Survey sent (collect TWO questions)
- [ ] Responses reviewed and incorporated
- [ ] Buzz-building content posted on social
## Prelaunch Content Ready
- [ ] PLC 1 - The Opportunity (video/content)
- [ ] PLC 2 - The Transformation (video/content)
- [ ] PLC 3 - The Ownership Experience (video/content)
- [ ] All PLCs deliver real value (not just teasers)
- [ ] Each PLC has comments/engagement enabled
- [ ] Email sequence for each PLC loaded
## Open Cart Ready
- [ ] Sales page complete
- [ ] Payment processing tested
- [ ] Day 1-5 emails written and loaded
- [ ] Bonus offers defined
- [ ] FAQ page ready
- [ ] Cart close deadline set (technical)
## Mental Triggers Mapped
- [ ] Authority established in PLC 1-3
- [ ] Social proof gathered (testimonials)
- [ ] Scarcity element defined (deadline/seats)
- [ ] Community element enabled (comments/group)
## PLC [1/2/3] - [Title]
### The Hook (30 seconds)
What will you show them that gets immediate attention?
> "In the next X minutes, I'm going to show you..."
### The Problem (2-3 minutes)
What's frustrating them right now?
- Pain point 1
- Pain point 2
- Pain point 3
### The Solution Preview (5-7 minutes)
What did you discover? (Don't give everything away)
- Key insight 1
- Key insight 2
- Why this is different
### Your Story (3-5 minutes)
How did you discover this?
- Where you started
- The struggle
- The breakthrough
### The Opportunity (2-3 minutes)
What's now possible for them?
- Outcome 1
- Outcome 2
- Connection to their dreams
### The Bridge to Next (1 minute)
What's coming in the next PLC?
> "In [PLC 2/3/the offer], I'm going to show you..."
### Call to Action
- Comment below
- Share with someone who needs this
- Watch for the next video
Email 1 - Morning (Simple Reminder):
Subject: [CLOSING TODAY] Your last chance
Quick reminder: [Product] closes tonight at midnight.
After that, you won't be able to join until [next opening].
If you've been thinking about it, now's the time to decide.
[Link]
[Name]
Email 2 - Midday (Story-Based):
Subject: What happens if you don't join?
I want you to imagine something for a moment.
It's 6 months from now. You're still [struggling with problem].
You think back to today - the day you almost joined [Product].
[Paint the "stay the same" picture]
Now imagine the opposite...
[Paint the "transformation" picture]
Which future do you want?
The choice is yours, but only until midnight.
[Link]
Email 3 - Evening (Now or Never):
Subject: 4 hours left
This is it.
In 4 hours, this page disappears: [Link]
No extensions. No exceptions.
If [Product] is something you want, you need to act now.
[Link]
See you inside (or maybe not),
[Name]
| Type | When to Use | Scale |
|---|---|---|
| Seed Launch | Validating a new idea | Small list, low expectations |
| Internal Launch | Launching to your own list | Standard PLF approach |
| JV Launch | Partnering with others | Massive reach, revenue share |
| Evergreen Launch | Automating a proven launch | Runs continuously |
Perfect for validating before building:
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Measure and optimize growth using the AARRR (Pirate Metrics) framework with stage-specific KPIs and funnel analysis
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Calculate A/B test statistical significance. Use when: determining if test results are significant; calculating required sample size; estimating test duration; analyzing conversion experiments; making data-driven decisions
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Assess customer account health using product usage, support sentiment, payment status, and relationship signals
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Analyze paid advertising performance across channels and recommend budget reallocation to maximize ROAS and minimize CAC. Use when: planning quarterly ad budget allocation, diagnosing underperforming ad channels, deciding whether to scale spend on a channel, calculating marginal ROI across Google Ads, Meta, LinkedIn, or TikTok, rebalancing media mix after performance shifts, or setting up a test-and-scale framework for new channels.
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Use when testing skills, commands, or agents for quality. Use after creating new skills, before deploying agents, or when debugging inconsistent agent behavior. Triggers on "evaluate", "test quality", "is this skill working", or QA of AI workflows.
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Use when analyzing server logs to understand how AI crawlers (GPTBot, ClaudeBot, PerplexityBot) interact with your site. Use when optimizing content placement for LLM retrieval, diagnosing why AI search isn't citing your content, or auditing crawl patterns to find optimization gaps.
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