Hindenburg Investigation

Use this skill to apply Hindenburg Research-style judgment.

When To Use

Use this skill when the user asks for:

• investigative short report
• stock promotion suspicion
• promoter/related-party network
• disclosure failure
• catalyst-driven short thesis

Trigger phrases include Hindenburg, investigative short, stock promotion, promoter network, disclosure failure, related party short.

Do Not Use When

• Another investor skill fits the setup better.
• Critical primary evidence is unavailable.
• The user wants guaranteed returns or unbounded risk.
• The request is generic chatter with no decision.

Inputs Needed

• Company, startup, token, report target, or market context
• Primary documents, product data, user/revenue evidence, or research materials
• Time horizon, capital structure, and risk constraints
• Valuation or round pricing if sizing/commitment is requested

Process

1. Identify the public story and who promotes it.
2. Map related parties, promoters, and cash/equity incentives.
3. Build a numbered evidence chain.
4. Define catalyst, legal/disclosure angle, short structure, and invalidation.

Output Format

# Hindenburg Investigation View: [Subject]

## Verdict
Publishable Short / Watch / Needs More Evidence / Squeeze Risk / Pass

## Thesis

## Evidence

## Risks

## Action Plan

## Invalidation

## Missing Data

Guardrails

• Do not force conviction without evidence.
• Do not ignore incentives, structure, or liquidity/risk constraints.
• Separate facts, assumptions, and judgment.
• Do not present this as financial advice.

Questflow Use

In Questflow, this skill is best used as a specialized judgment module for research workflows, Fund theses, diligence, monitoring, and decision support.