비즈니스 스킬

Design research plans to protect existing investments using futures, ETFs, options, or other assets. Compare hedge sizes, estimated costs, and potential gains or losses under different market scenarios, with guidance on monitoring and adjustments.

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• Estimate futures positions to offset broad market risk
• Compare the costs and protection of option strategies
• Plan protection against a severe market crash

Assess a company’s management through public statements, delivered commitments, crisis decisions, and use of company funds. Produce evidence-based scores for integrity, strategy, capital allocation, and governance, alongside a verdict on long-term trust.

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• Check whether executives delivered on past commitments
• Review acquisitions, buybacks, dividends, and new ventures
• Assess ownership, compensation, and related-party dealings

Analyze bond prices, yields, and issuers’ ability to repay debt. The skill covers interest rate exposure, default risk models, yield spreads, Chinese local government financing platform bonds, and securities backed by pools of loans.

한국어 요약은 준비 중입니다. 영어 요약을 표시하고 있습니다.

• Calculate bond prices, yields, and interest rate sensitivity
• Assess corporate default risk from financial data
• Compare yield spreads across issuers and maturities

Apply 12 structured investing frameworks to evidence already collected. Each framework orders the questions to ask, defines reasons to reject a case, and identifies its limitations, helping explain why different approaches reach different conclusions.

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• Assess the same company through two or three frameworks
• Check the evidence behind an appealing growth story
• Identify conditions that rule out an investment case

Analyze income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements together to assess earnings quality. Break down return on equity into its drivers, compare profits with operating cash flow, and organize warning signs that warrant closer accounting review.

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• Check whether reported profits translate into cash
• Explain changes in return on equity
• Review accounting warning signs

Break down major industrial trends into materials, components, and equipment to find listed suppliers at supply bottlenecks. Compare scarcity, financial performance, and valuation, then organize candidates into a ranked research board with supporting evidence and risks.

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• Find overlooked suppliers benefiting from AI infrastructure growth
• Compare supply constraints in energy transition supply chains
• Check valuations of companies at critical supply bottlenecks

Analyze cross-border stock flows between mainland China and Hong Kong through Stock Connect. Compare overseas buying of mainland shares, mainland buying of Hong Kong shares, sector allocations, and price gaps between dual-listed shares.

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• Track overseas capital moving into and out of Chinese A-shares
• Review mainland investor flows into Hong Kong stocks
• Identify sector shifts in cross-border allocations

Analyze earnings estimate changes, results versus analyst expectations, and management forecasts for US and Hong Kong stocks. Organize findings on post-earnings price trends and earnings quality into a structured investment research report.

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• Review analyst estimate changes before earnings
• Compare reported results with market expectations
• Assess management forecasts and earnings quality

Recognize classic candlestick patterns using pandas, a Python library for tabular data. Combine bullish and bearish pattern scores into long, short, or stand-aside signals, with adjustable thresholds for candle bodies and shadows.

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• Detect classic patterns in candlestick data
• Combine bullish and bearish patterns into one signal
• Adjust thresholds for candle bodies and shadows

Analyze US public company filings to summarize financial health, management commentary, changing risks, insider trades, and institutional holdings. Combine these findings into a structured research report with scores and investment implications.

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• Reviewing annual and quarterly financial performance
• Comparing risk disclosures with previous filings
• Investigating major events reported in 8-K filings

Structure research on war, sanctions, and supply disruptions using risk indicators and scenarios. Map potential effects across stocks, commodities, and currencies, then examine warning signals, defensive allocations, and possible market reversals as a crisis eases.

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• Organize early warning indicators for geopolitical crises
• Trace sanctions and shipping disruptions through supply chains
• Compare crisis scenarios across asset classes

Analyze candlestick data using Chan theory, a method based on price structure. Detect turning points, movement segments, and overlapping price zones, then generate buy and sell signals and compare patterns across timeframes.

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• Detecting turning points and segments in candlestick data
• Generating Chan theory buy and sell signals
• Comparing price structures across timeframes

Analyze corporate events in China's A-share market, including mergers, major shareholder transactions, equity incentives, and financing. Calculate acquisition price gaps, assess dilution and delisting risks, and organize event timing, signals, and risks into a report.

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• Compare acquisition price gaps and deal completion risks
• Interpret purchases and sales by major shareholders
• Assess equity incentive terms and share dilution

Analyze crude oil, gold, and copper using supply and demand, inventories, futures prices, and seasonal patterns. Combine these factors with macroeconomic conditions to produce research reports showing market direction, confidence, and specific risks.

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• Assess crude oil supply and demand
• Review gold drivers such as real rates and the dollar
• Study copper inventories and economic signals

Evaluate dividend stocks by checking earnings, cash flow, debt, and dividend history. Assess whether payouts can last, identify high yields driven by falling prices, and consider total returns alongside dividend income.

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• Checking whether a dividend is sustainable
• Screening high-yield stocks for payout risks
• Comparing the quality of dividend growth

Analyze price swings to detect Elliott Wave structures: five waves following a trend and three waves correcting it. Check wave rules and Fibonacci ratios, then generate signals for completed advances or pullbacks using a pandas implementation.

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• Detecting five-wave advances in price data
• Identifying completed ABC corrections
• Adjusting wave-detection parameters

Detect five-point price patterns using Fibonacci ratios and generate buy, sell, or stand-aside signals. The skill identifies Gartley, Bat, Butterfly, and Crab patterns and locates potential reversal zones, where a price trend may change direction.

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• Detecting harmonic patterns in price data
• Identifying potential reversal zones
• Generating buy, sell, and stand-aside signals

Generate trading signals using Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, a five-line chart framework. Combine conversion-line and base-line crossovers with price position and cloud direction to classify conditions as long, short, or stand aside using pandas.

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• Evaluate trends with the five Ichimoku lines
• Identify crossovers that agree with the cloud
• Adjust calculation periods and displacement

Analyze product, organization, international expansion, and hiring decisions through frameworks drawn from 张一鸣’s public statements. Examine information flow, user needs, and long-term tradeoffs to identify underlying problems and opportunities for small-scale validation.

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• Reviewing product ideas against underlying user needs
• Examining information flow and reporting layers
• Planning small tests before international expansion

Examine startup ideas, product demand, writing, and career choices through frameworks drawn from Paul Graham’s essays and interviews. Reframe unclear questions, consider user needs and growth, and use writing and iteration to uncover better directions.

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• Testing startup directions against real user needs
• Reviewing a company through its founders, product, and growth
• Using writing to clarify an unfinished idea

Examine product costs, technical plans, and industry assumptions through a framework drawn from Elon Musk’s public record. Compare prices with material costs, question unnecessary requirements, and explore whether to build components internally or outsource them.

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• Reviewing product costs against material costs
• Questioning requirements before automating a process
• Comparing internal production with outsourcing

Review decisions through Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s thinking about rare, severe losses and who bears their consequences. Identify hidden dependencies, compare potential gains with losses, and examine whether a strategy benefits from disruption or becomes more vulnerable.

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• Examining rare events that could cause irreversible losses
• Checking whether advisers bear the consequences of their advice
• Finding dependencies that make a business fragile

Review investment and business decisions using frameworks drawn from Charlie Munger’s public work. Examine failure paths, thinking biases, and incentives, compare opposing evidence, and identify questions that fall outside the available knowledge.

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• Reviewing how a business decision could fail
• Checking for interacting thinking biases
• Examining management incentives and risk

Explore career choices, business opportunities, and competing goals using frameworks drawn from Naval Ravikant’s public work. Examine how software or content can multiply effort, identify distinctive knowledge, and clarify what wealth and freedom mean for a decision.

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• Evaluating whether a job can multiply the value of effort
• Exploring distinctive knowledge built through experience
• Sorting competing goals and desires