'econometrics' 검색 결과

Econometrics skill for instrumental variables and treatment effect estimation. Activates when the user asks about: "instrumental variables", "IV estimation", "2SLS", "two-stage least squares", "endogeneity", "weak instruments", "first stage", "Sargan test", "overidentification", "propensity score matching", "PSM", "average treatment effect", "ATT", "LATE", "local average treatment effect", "endogenous regressor", "instrument validity", "工具变量", "两阶段最小二乘", "内生性", "弱工具变量", "倾向得分匹配", "平均处理效应", "处理效应", "局部平均处理效应"

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Econometrics skill for Difference-in-Differences (DID) analysis. Activates when the user asks about: "difference in differences", "DID", "DiD", "diff-in-diff", "parallel trends", "treatment group", "control group", "pre-treatment", "post-treatment", "policy evaluation", "natural experiment", "staggered DID", "event study regression", "two-way fixed effects DID", "callaway santanna", "sun and abraham", "双重差分", "倍差法", "平行趋势", "处理组", "对照组", "政策评估", "事件研究", "交错DID", "渐进处理"

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Classical end-to-end empirical analysis workflow in the modern tidyverse + econometrics R ecosystem — dplyr + tidyr + haven + fixest + sandwich + lmtest + clubSandwich + AER + ivreg + did + bacondecomp + HonestDiD + eventstudyr + rdrobust + rddensity + Synth + gsynth + synthdid + MatchIt + WeightIt + cobalt + ebal + grf + DoubleML + mediation + marginaleffects + modelsummary + kableExtra + gt + ggplot2 + ggpubr + cowplot + binsreg. **Defaults to economics empirical-paper style** (AER / QJE / AEJ) — every run produces a publication-ready output set with a multi-column regression table (M1→M6 progressive controls/FE) as the centerpiece, plus Table 1 (descriptives), mechanism / heterogeneity / robustness tables, and event-study + coefficient + trend figures. Covers the full 8-step R pipeline an applied economist runs on every paper — (1) data import & cleaning (read_dta/read_csv, naniar, janitor, validate-merges), (2) variable construction (mutate/across/winsorize/group_by + lag/lead with dplyr), (3) descriptive statistics & Table 1 (gtsummary, modelsummary::datasummary, tableone), (4) classical diagnostic tests (shapiro/jarque.bera.test/bptest/dwtest/bgtest/vif/adf.test/kpss.test/Hausman), (5) baseline modeling (fixest::feols, ivreg, did::att_gt, eventstudyr, sun_ab, did_imputation, synthdid, rdrobust, MatchIt, WeightIt, grf::causal_forest, DoubleML, mediation), (6) robustness battery (modelsummary stack, clubSandwich CRSE, fwildclusterboot, ri2, robomit Oster, bacondecomp, HonestDiD), (7) further analysis (interactions + marginaleffects, mediation::mediate, gsem via lavaan, dose-response splines, grf CATE), (8) publication-ready tables & figures (modelsummary, kableExtra, gt, stargazer, texreg, flextable to LaTeX/Word/HTML; ggplot2 + ggpubr + cowplot + binsreg + iplot for figures). **Also covers two parallel domain modes that share the same 8-step scaffolding** — **Mode A — Epidemiology / public health** (target-trial emulation, IPTW + g-formula + TMLE doubly-robust triplet via `WeightIt` / `gfoRmula` / `tmle` / `ltmle`, Mendelian randomization via `MendelianRandomization` / `TwoSampleMR` / `MRPRESSO`, KM / Cox / AFT / RMST survival via `survival` / `survminer` / `flexsurv`, E-value sensitivity via `EValue`, principal stratification — STROBE / TRIPOD reporting), and **Mode B — ML causal inference** (DML via `DoubleML`, S/T/X/R/DR meta-learners via `causalweight` / `grf`, causal forest via `grf::causal_forest`, BART/BCF via `bartCause` / `bcf`, matrix completion via `MCPanel`, CATE distribution + policy tree via `policytree`, off-policy evaluation, conformal causal via `conformalInference` / `cfcausal`, fairness audit via `fairmodels`, DAG learning via `pcalg` / `bnlearn` / LLM-assisted). Use when the user asks for a complete R empirical analysis, wants a tidyverse-style reproducible R script / Quarto workflow, prefers fixest over reghdfe, needs the R counterpart to StatsPAI / 00.1 / 00.2, or names a specific R step in isolation ("feols with cluster", "MatchIt nearest neighbor", "bacondecomp in R", "gtsummary table 1", "modelsummary to Word"). Mode A triggers on "target trial emulation R", "tmle ltmle", "MendelianRandomization", "TwoSampleMR", "MRPRESSO", "survival cox AFT", "STROBE R", "EValue R", "公共健康 R", "流行病学 R". Mode B triggers on "DoubleML R", "grf causal forest", "policytree", "bartCause bcf", "conformal causal R", "fairmodels", "pcalg NOTEARS", "因果机器学习 R".

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Use whenever you run statistical analysis for the social sciences (regression, hypothesis tests, econometrics) or read Stata (.dta) / SPSS (.sav) data in this workspace. Enforces an execute-don't-interpret boundary (surface estimates, don't volunteer causal claims), checks the analysis against a preregistration plan for HARKing, verifies reproducible seeds, and reproduces .dta/.sav estimates via R. Flags integrity risks; never certifies the analysis is sound.

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Draft economics papers with proper structure and academic style

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Comprehensive Stata reference for writing correct .do files. Covers syntax, options, gotchas, and idiomatic patterns. Use this skill whenever the user asks you to write, debug, or explain Stata code. Generates ready-to-run .do files for the user to execute manually.

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Comprehensive results analysis for empirical research: generate publication-quality descriptive statistics and balance tables, interpret regression coefficients with economic magnitude and effect sizes, assess identification assumption diagnostics, and produce structured results memos. Use when asked to create summary statistics, Table 1, balance tests, interpret results, assess economic significance, or write results narratives.

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Search, summarize, and synthesize economics literature. find research gaps, position your contribution.

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Called by /plot to generate and upgrade econometric figures to top-journal standards.

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End-to-end data pipeline for empirical research: fetch economic data from APIs (FRED, World Bank, IMF, BLS, OECD, Yahoo Finance), clean and transform raw data, construct strategy-specific variables, and validate panel structure. Use when asked to fetch data, download data, clean data, merge datasets, prepare analysis-ready data.

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Scrape web pages using Scrapling with anti-bot bypass (like Cloudflare Turnstile), stealth headless browsing, spiders framework, adaptive scraping, and JavaScript rendering. Use when asked to scrape, crawl, or extract data from websites; web_fetch fails; the site has anti-bot protections; write Python code to scrape/crawl; or write spiders.

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Create Beamer-style academic PPTX presentations using python-pptx. Produces publication-quality .pptx files with navy-blue Metropolis theme (16:9, frame title bars, progress bar) for conference talks, job market presentations, and seminar slides. Called by /present command.

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Called by /plot to upgrade regression and summary tables to top-journal standards.

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