'predictive' 검색 결과

Build Bayesian models in PyMC to estimate effects and quantify uncertainty. Fit regression or hierarchical models, check sampling diagnostics, assess predictions against observed data, predict new groups, and compare models using predictive performance.

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• Estimate regression effects with uncertainty
• Model differences across patients or groups
• Inspect sampling diagnostics and predictive checks

Research industrial AI topics such as predictive maintenance and anomaly detection. Compare papers by methods and publication venues, distinguish preprints from reviewed work, identify conflicting findings and research gaps, or build an evidence-based survey draft.

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• Researching recent predictive maintenance literature
• Comparing industrial anomaly detection methods and evaluations
• Identifying research gaps in manufacturing AI

Build machine-learning trading signals from price and volume data. The workflow checks inputs, creates predictive features, and repeatedly trains on available historical data to produce bounded signals indicating predicted direction and strength.

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• Building trading signals from price and volume data
• Comparing machine-learning models
• Testing expanding and sliding training windows

Analyze business data, test hypotheses, and build predictive models with statistical and machine learning methods. Get support across data exploration, experiment design, visualization, result validation, and planning model deployment and monitoring.

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• Analyzing customer churn and predicting customers at risk
• Designing an A/B test and evaluating its results
• Forecasting demand for inventory planning

Develop Bayesian models for quantitative social science, from choosing priors to reporting posterior results. Guide MCMC, a sampling method for estimating distributions, check convergence, and assess sensitivity for hierarchical models and small datasets.

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• Choosing priors for models with small datasets
• Implementing hierarchical models in Stan or PyMC
• Investigating MCMC convergence problems

Plan experiments, analyze data, and build and evaluate predictive models. The skill also covers explaining findings to stakeholders and designing production workflows for model deployment, monitoring, and retraining to support business decisions.

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• Designing experiments and A/B tests
• Preparing model inputs and evaluating predictions
• Planning model deployment and monitoring

People analytics across workforce metrics, predictive modeling, and employee insights. Use when building turnover models, analyzing engagement surveys, running pay equity regressions, or scoring flight risk.

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This skill applies the analytical frameworks of Ronald C. Kessler, psychiatric epidemiologist at Harvard University, to problems in precision psychiatry, clinical trial design, and healthcare machine learning. Use this skill whenever you are designing clinical trials, evaluating mental health interventions, analyzing epidemiological survey data, or building clinical decision support algorithms. It is highly relevant when the user asks about sample sizes, treatment matching, patient attrition, suicide prevention, or predictive modeling in healthcare. Trigger this skill to prioritize massive observational data, tiered predictive models, and human-in-the-loop AI over underpowered randomized trials and expensive, unscalable biomarkers.

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シミュレーションと数理最適化（モンテカルロ / Monte Carlo / 離散事象シミュレーション / DES / 待ち行列 / リスク分析 / シナリオ分析、線形計画 / LP / 整数計画 / MIP / スケジューリング / 配送計画 / VRP / 割当 / メタヒューリスティクス）を 実行したら必ずセットで出す図と値のルーター。SeedSequence.spawn, scipy.stats の rvs, simpy, SALib, pulp, LpProblem, mip.Model, ortools, pywraplp, cp_model, pyomo, cvxpy, linprog, milp がコードに現れたとき、または ユーザーが「シミュレーションして」「モンテカルロで見積もって」「待ち時間をシミュレートして」「最適化して」 「最適な割当を求めて」「スケジュールを組んで」と言ったときに使う。収束・標準誤差・ソルバー status・制約違反・ 感度分析に言及がなくても適用する。SKILL.md のルーティング表で手法を特定し、対応する references/<手法>.md を 読んでから実行する。MCMC は statistical-inference-diagnostics、ML のハイパラ探索は predictive-modeling-diagnostics を使う。

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教師なし分析と EDA 前処理（欠測 / 欠損 / NaN / 補完 / imputation / 外れ値処理、クラスタリング / セグメンテーション / k-means / 階層クラスタリング / GMM / DBSCAN、次元削減 / PCA / 主成分分析 / 因子分析 / UMAP / t-SNE、異常検知 / anomaly detection / 不正検知）を実行したら必ずセットで出す図と値のルーター。fillna, dropna, fill_null, SimpleImputer, IterativeImputer, missingno, KMeans, AgglomerativeClustering, DBSCAN, GaussianMixture, silhouette_score, dendrogram, PCA, FactorAnalysis, calculate_kmo, TSNE, umap.UMAP, IsolationForest, LocalOutlierFactor, pyod がコードに現れたとき、またはユーザーが「欠損を埋めて」「クラスタリングして」「主成分で 要約して」「異常を検知して」「データをきれいにして」と言ったときに使う。安定性・k の根拠・平行分析・ベースラインに 言及がなくても適用する。SKILL.md のルーティング表で手法を特定し、対応する references/<手法>.md を読んでから実行する。 教師あり予測は predictive-modeling-diagnostics、回帰・検定は statistical-inference-diagnostics を使う。

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統計的推論（線形回帰 / 重回帰 / OLS / Lasso / Ridge / 分位点回帰、ロジスティック回帰 / ポアソン / GLM / オッズ比、 混合効果 / マルチレベル / パネル固定効果、仮説検定 / t 検定 / χ² / ANOVA / 有意差、生存時間分析 / Kaplan-Meier / Cox、 ベイズ推定 / MCMC / Stan）を実行したら必ずセットで出す図と値のルーター。sm.OLS, smf.ols, LinearRegression, LassoCV, QuantReg, sm.Logit, sm.GLM, LogisticRegression, mixedlm, PanelOLS, ttest_ind, mannwhitneyu, chi2_contingency, pingouin, lifelines, CoxPHFitter, cmdstanpy, arviz がコードに現れたとき、またはユーザーが「回帰して」「検定して」 「有意差はあるか」「生存曲線を描いて」「ベイズで推定して」と言ったときに使う。診断・残差・図に言及がなくても適用する。 SKILL.md のルーティング表で手法を特定し、対応する references/<手法>.md を読んでから実行する。A/B テスト・因果推論は causal-inference-diagnostics、予測 ML・時系列は predictive-modeling-diagnostics を使う。

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因果推論・効果検証（A/B テスト / ABテスト / オンライン実験 / リフト / SRM / CUPED、観察データの処置効果 / ATE / ATT / CATE / 傾向スコア / propensity score / IPW / 二重頑健 / DML / causal forest、準実験 / 差の差 / DiD / イベントスタディ / 操作変数 / IV / 2SLS / 回帰不連続 / RDD / 合成コントロール）を実行したら必ずセットで出す図と値のルーター。 proportions_ztest, chisquare, statsmodels.stats.power, dowhy, econml, causalml, doubleml, propensity, LinearDML, IV2SLS, rdrobust, rddensity, pysyncon, treat*post がコードに現れたとき、またはユーザーが「ABテストの結果を 見て」「施策の効果を推定して」「差の差で」「傾向スコアで揃えて」「閾値前後で比較して」と言ったときに使う。SRM・ バランス・並行トレンド・first-stage に言及がなくても適用する。SKILL.md のルーティング表で設計を特定し、対応する references/<設計>.md を読んでから実行する。実験でない群間比較の検定は statistical-inference-diagnostics、 予測モデルの解釈（SHAP 等）は predictive-modeling-diagnostics を使う。

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Audit manufacturing predictive maintenance systems for OPC-UA/MQTT sensor data pipelines, time-series storage retention, ML model lifecycle (training-serving skew, drift detection, retraining triggers), MTBF/MTTF/MTTR reliability calculations, Weibull survival analysis.

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Digital Twin Specialist IA — Expert en jumeaux numériques (IoT sensors, simulation, predictive maintenance, Unity/Unreal)

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Expert en analyse du churn (cohort analysis, survival curves, predictive models, at-risk signals)

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Expert en prévention du churn avancé (early warning, health scores, win-back campaigns, predictive)

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Churn analysis v3 — cohort analysis, survival curves, predictive models, DZ context

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최근 사용 비용으로 하루 지출을 계산하고 7일, 30일, 90일, 365일 비용을 예측합니다. 예산 설정 시 소진 비율별 도달 일수도 확인합니다.

• 분기 예산을 계획합니다
• 예산 대시보드에 예측을 연동합니다
• 예산 소진이 임박한 빌드를 중단합니다

Fit regression and time series models in Python, interpret coefficients, compare alternatives, and check model assumptions. Supports statistical diagnostics and forecasting, with confidence intervals and validation steps to assess uncertainty and predictive performance.

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• Fit regression models and interpret coefficients
• Compare models for binary outcomes or counts
• Forecast time series with prediction intervals

Prepare raw credit data for pre-loan modeling by checking data quality and screening variables. Review missing values, predictive usefulness, stability, noise, and correlation, then export an Excel report with organization-level statistics and cleaning results.

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• Prepare credit data before building a model
• Compare missing values and bad-sample rates across organizations
• Screen variables for usefulness, stability, and redundancy

Research stock and cryptocurrency strategies through historical testing, factor analysis, and options pricing. Analyze trading journals, extract rules from profitable trades, and generate reports comparing simulated results with actual trading outcomes.

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• Testing strategies on historical market data
• Comparing predefined predictive factors
• Reviewing trading habits from broker CSV exports

Evaluate investment factors across multiple securities using statistical measures and grouped backtests. Compare how well each factor predicts future returns, examine its consistency over time, and combine useful factors with equal or performance-based weights.

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• Testing whether an investment factor predicts returns
• Comparing factor strength across industries and markets
• Checking how predictive power changes with holding periods

Plan and analyze A/B tests, prepare tabular data, and train and evaluate prediction models. Estimate intervention effects from observational data, track model experiments with MLflow, and translate statistical findings into business decisions.

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• Planning A/B test sample sizes and analyzing results
• Preparing tabular data for prediction models
• Comparing model performance and recording experiments

Build and evaluate Bayesian models with PyMC and ArviZ, from choosing initial assumptions to checking predictions. The workflow covers sampling diagnostics, model comparison, and reports that explain results with uncertainty intervals.

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• Choose and check prior distributions
• Investigate sampling and convergence problems
• Compare hierarchical or regression models