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deep-company-series

Develop an eight-part article series examining one company's competitive strengths, earnings, assets, management, and valuation. Review figures, sources, accounting definitions, and claims across the series to prepare consistent articles for public publication.

한국어 요약은 준비 중입니다. 영어 요약을 표시하고 있습니다.

원문원문 설명 보기

Write a publication-grade 8-part deep-dive series on a single company (~120k words total): cognitive reset / moat / profit engine / hidden assets / era variable (e.g. AI) / financials Buffett-style / management / valuation+redlines. The core IP is NOT writing but REVISING — a strict fact-check checklist catches pseudo-precision (probability-weighted expectations, third-party MAU discrepancies, linear extrapolation), absolute language, and cross-article number inconsistencies that most finance long-forms violate. Each piece stands alone but shares one valuation/management/price framework. Use when the user wants textbook-level depth on one company for public publishing (a single research report or earnings note is NOT this — use investment-research / earnings-review instead).

실행 점수 미검증

설치 방법 보기

이럴 때 유용합니다

  • Planning an eight-part company analysis series
  • Checking figures and definitions across articles
  • Revising unsupported claims before publication
  • Explaining valuation scenarios and review triggers

포함된 파일(1)

  • SKILL.md9.6 KB

SKILL.md(원문)

설치하기 전에 에이전트에게 전달되는 지시 내용을 확인할 수 있습니다.

Deep-Company Series: An 8-Part Deep Dive on One Company

Write an 8-part deep-dive series (~120k words total) on a single company, from cognitive reset to a decision framework. The core IP is not "writing well" but "revising strictly" — most finance long-form violates this skill's fact-check standard.

1. When to Use

The user wants "textbook-level" deep research on a company, published as a series of long-form articles. Distinct from a single research report:

  • 8 parts, ~120k words, full loop from cognitive reset to a decision framework
  • Each part stands alone (shareable singly) but shares one valuation / management / price framework
  • Written for readers willing to spend 90 minutes understanding one company

Not for: a single research report, earnings note, sector study — use other skills (fundamentals / earnings / sector).

2. Series Template (8 Parts)

#Title templateCore questionWords
01You think you understand X — you don'tCognitive reset: break 3 common illusions4,000-5,000
02X's moat — {one-line business essence}Is the moat deep; will it be there in 5/10 years6,000-8,000
03X's biggest profit engine — {most profitable business}What is the core business; why it persists6,000-8,000
04The other company hidden on X's balance sheet — {hidden asset}Investment portfolio / subsidiary / hidden value8,000-10,000
05In the AI (or current narrative) era, is X a winner or loserEra variable: decompose the impact by business8,000-10,000
06Reading X's financials the Buffett wayFinancial depth: gross margin / FCF / ROE / SBC8,000-10,000
07{management quote} — is X's management worth entrustingCapital-allocation discipline + integrity test + succession8,000-10,000
08At what price to buy, what signal to sell (finale)DCF 3-scenario + red lines + position framework10,000-12,000

Plus 00-series-overview.md as an index (unpublished).

3. Writing Style

Voice

  • Direct, sharp, no filler — open with a number or a counterintuitive claim
  • Value-investing frame — Buffett/Munger/Duan Yongping/Li Lu lenses woven in (no name-dropping)
  • No preset stance — data first, logic next, conclusion last
  • Show both sides — every core judgment carries a "but on the other hand..."
  • Mobile preview — the first 18-20 characters must stand alone

Banned Words

BannedWhyReplace with
obviously / inevitably / certainlySubjective absolutism"the data shows" / "evidence suggests"
I think / I feelSubjective tonecut, or "under this framework"
textbook-level / brilliantHype adjectivesdescribe the concrete fact
severely mismatched / severely undervaluedStrong subjectivegive the specific discount %
perfect / flawlessOne-sidedadd the counter-observation

Title Style

  • Hook with a contrast number or a counter-consensus claim ("15 years, 7 failed challenges"; "salary 42.92M = 0.0017% of profit")
  • Neutral subtitle summarizing content
  • Avoid hype metaphors: "the next Buffett", "the X of China", "GOAT" — all banned

4. Strict Fact-Check Checklist (the Core IP)

"Pseudo-precision" traps to watch for before writing

  1. Probability-weighted expected value: 30% × A + 50% × B + 20% × C = expected +X% is almost always garbage — the probabilities are pure subjective, giving readers false precision. List scenarios + triggers + direction only; do not compute a weighted expectation.
  2. Third-party MAU/share estimates: QuestMobile / 七麦 / CBNData differ hugely (2-3× at the same point). Use only the two most-credible as anchors; describe the rest qualitatively.
  3. Linear extrapolation of historical growth: 2025 +33% × 5y CAGR → 2030 X is financial illiteracy. Use scenario assumptions + high/low ranges; never a promise.
  4. Undisclosed shareholding: unlisted-company stakes are never publicly disclosed. Give a range, mark "unknowable".
  5. Strong attribution: "competitor failed because of X." List multiple causes; this article does no single attribution.

The 7 mandatory revision checks

□ 1. Cross-article number consistency: market cap, Non-IFRS net income, key holding % aligned across the series
□ 2. Caliber labeling: Non-IFRS / GAAP / Non-IFRS-SBC / FCF — which is used, clear throughout
□ 3. Double-counting scan: consolidated subs are NOT in the "investment portfolio"; SOTP doesn't count them twice
□ 4. Peer-comparison fairness: don't compare "core-business PE (cash + portfolio stripped)" with "peer PE (not stripped)"
□ 5. Probability-weighted expectations deleted (see above)
□ 6. Absolute language softened: grep "obviously|inevitably|severely|textbook|perfect"
□ 7. Third-party data sourced: every non-filing data point followed by "(source: X)"

Known hard-error risks (list before writing)

  • Historical return multiples: use cumulative-invested basis (e.g. Riot 33×, not 58×)
  • Shareholding %: use the latest filing/financial-app basis (e.g. Tencent's Meituan stake changes with disposals)
  • "Distribution accounting": treated as disposal gain under IFRIC 17, recognized on declaration date
  • Share count rebounds: SBC granted in clusters at year-start can lift share count short-term

5. Execution

Phase 1: Research (before writing 01-02)

  1. get_financial_statements — last 5 years of annuals, latest quarterly
  2. get_research_reports / web_search — at least 3 independent sell-side reports (find consensus + dissent)
  3. Optional: run_swarm (e.g. equity_research_team or value_investing_committee) to generate an internal research draft
  4. Confirm the 8-part core theses with the user (avoid writing the wrong direction)

Phase 2: Writing (01→08 in order, no skipping)

  • After each part, write_file to reports/{company}/《Understanding {company}》/0X-XX.md
  • Don't publish immediately — wait for user review
  • Revise on feedback

Phase 3: Cross-Article Consistency Scan (after all 8)

This is the key differentiator. Use tools to scan:

  1. read_file each part + report_audit (command=extract) to pull numbers (market cap, net income, holding %, PE) from each
  2. Cross-check the same number across parts — use financial_rigor (command=cross_validate) to cross-validate the same metric's values across articles; flag >1% deviation as a caliber mismatch
  3. read_file checks: is each term (FBS, SBC, Non-IFRS) defined at first use; do "see part 06" references actually resolve; do recaps match body numbers
  4. Absolute-language scan: grep "obviously|inevitably|severely|perfect" and soften each

Phase 4: Pre-publish Final Check

  • report_audit (command=verdict) as a gate on each part: extract numbers → verify → PASS/FAIL
  • Confirm all numbers are traceable, no pseudo-precision, no absolutism

6. Revision-Feedback Handling

1. Verify facts first (don't just change)

If the user says "X is wrong", use get_financial_statements / web_search to cross-check the original; present "user's number vs what I found vs what I used".

2. Grade the revision

GradeTypeHandle
🔥 Hard errorwrong number / attribution / caliberMust fix
⚠️ Subjectivestrong subjective word / hype metaphorSoften or cut
🔬 Granularitysource label, caliber refinementBalance against readability
❓ Unreliablelarge third-party discrepanciesDeleting is safer than editing

3. Cascade check after a fix

Before fixing one spot, think "where else is this number/concept referenced":

  • Market cap changed → cascade to PE / core-business PE / discount / FCF yield
  • Holding % changed → fix TOP-10 sort + historical holding table + disposal list
  • Caliber changed → fix first definition + later references + recap

7. What This Skill Does NOT Do

  • Does not make investment decisions for the reader — every part ends with "not investment advice"
  • Does not predict prices — only "scenarios + triggers"
  • Does not compute a weighted "expected annualized return" — subjective probability misleads
  • Does not write "famous investor X also holds" — using someone else's holding to back your judgment is anti-value-investing
  • Does not force all 8 parts — if a part lacks enough standalone content (e.g. management isn't distinctive), merge it or reduce the count

One-liner: writing an "Understanding X" series is about revising strictly, not writing well — most finance long-form dies from pseudo-precise numbers, subjective weighted expectations, and absolute language. This skill exists to flag all those traps before writing and sweep them clean after (report_audit + financial_rigor.cross_validate).

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