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seasonal

Generates buy, sell, or stand-aside signals from calendar patterns using price and volume data. Supports configurable months and weekdays, including combined conditions, for testing seasonal trading ideas against historical data.

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원문원문 설명 보기

Seasonal/calendar-effect strategy. Generates trading signals from time-based patterns such as month-of-year effects and day-of-week effects. Suitable for any OHLCV data.

실행 점수 미검증

설치 방법 보기

이럴 때 유용합니다

  • Testing trading rules based on particular months
  • Adding weekday conditions to a seasonal strategy
  • Combining month and weekday signals
  • Including neutral periods in historical tests

포함된 파일(2)

  • SKILL.md2.2 KB
  • example_signal_engine.py4.8 KB

SKILL.md(원문)

설치하기 전에 에이전트에게 전달되는 지시 내용을 확인할 수 있습니다.

Seasonal / Calendar Effect Strategy

Purpose

Uses time-based regularities in financial markets (month effects, day-of-week effects, and similar patterns) to generate trading signals. Examples include the China A-share "spring rally" (January-March) and the "sell in May" effect.

Signal Logic

Month Effect (Default)

  • Specified bullish months → go long
  • Specified bearish months → go short / stay out
  • All other months → stay flat

Day-of-Week Effect (Optional Overlay)

  • Monday / Friday effects
  • Start-of-month / end-of-month effects

Combined Mode

Month signal × weekday signal; open a position only when both confirm.

Common Calendar Effects Reference

EffectDescriptionReference Configuration
Spring rallyHigher probability of gains in China A-shares from January to Marchbullish_months=[1,2,3]
Sell in MayWeaker performance from May to Octoberbearish_months=[5,6,7,8,9,10]
Year-end effectInstitutional rebalancing in Decemberbullish_months=[11,12]
Monday effectLower returns on Mondaysbearish_weekdays=[0]
Friday effectHigher returns on Fridaysbullish_weekdays=[4]

Parameters

ParameterDefaultDescription
bullish_months[1, 2, 3, 11, 12]Bullish months
bearish_months[5, 6, 7, 8, 9]Bearish months
use_weekdayFalseWhether to enable weekday effects
bullish_weekdays[4]Bullish weekdays (0=Monday, 4=Friday)
bearish_weekdays[0]Bearish weekdays

Common Pitfalls

  • pd.DatetimeIndex.month starts from 1 (1=January)
  • pd.DatetimeIndex.weekday starts from 0 (0=Monday, 4=Friday)
  • Seasonal strategies are statistical regularities, not deterministic signals, so pay attention to sample size in backtests
  • Neutral months (neither in bullish nor bearish) should output 0 and must not be skipped

Dependencies

pip install pandas numpy

Signal Convention

  • 1 = long (bullish window), -1 = short (bearish window), 0 = stand aside

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