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federal-bca

Knowledge base from OMB Circular A-94 (revised 2023-11-09) on guidelines and discount rates for benefit-cost and cost-effectiveness analysis of federal programs. Use for BCA principles, benefit/cost measurement, discount-rate policy, uncertainty/sensitivity, distributional incidence, and decision reporting. Rescoped at build to A-94 only (Army CBA Guide unreachable). Does not replace A-11 budget preparation detail, agency-specific statutory BCA rules, or Army CEAC process templates.

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jgsystemsconsulting/jgs-se-knowledge-packs
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포함된 파일(12)

  • SKILL.md5.4 KB
  • chapters/ch01-purpose-scope-and-principles.md2.9 KB
  • chapters/ch02-identifying-measuring-benefits-costs.md2.4 KB
  • chapters/ch03-discounting-and-time.md2.7 KB
  • chapters/ch04-uncertainty-and-sensitivity.md2.4 KB
  • chapters/ch05-distributional-effects-and-incidence.md2.3 KB
  • chapters/ch06-reporting-and-decision-use.md2.3 KB
  • cheatsheet.md1.6 KB
  • glossary.md1.7 KB
  • LICENSE1.0 KB
  • PACK.yaml1.7 KB
  • patterns.md1.8 KB

SKILL.md(원문)

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<!-- argument-hint: [BCA, discount rate, uncertainty, incidence, CEA, or chapter number] -->

OMB Circular A-94 — Federal Benefit-Cost Analysis Guidelines

Source: OMB Circular A-94, revised Nov. 9, 2023 (US Government work, public domain) | Chapters: 6

When to use

Reach for this pack when designing or reviewing federal benefit-cost or cost-effectiveness analyses—especially discount-rate selection, baseline and opportunity-cost measurement, uncertainty/sensitivity, distributional incidence, and OMB-facing documentation quality for program or legislative decisions.

Prerequisites: none — plain Markdown; no MCP server, API key, or licence tier needed at runtime.

How to Use This Skill

  • Without arguments — load the core frameworks below.
  • With a topic — ask about NPV, real vs nominal rates, opportunity cost, sensitivity, incidence, or CEA vs BCA.
  • With a chapter — ask for ch01 through ch06.

Supporting files: glossary.md, patterns.md, cheatsheet.md.

Core Frameworks & Mental Models

Why A-94 exists

Promote social welfare via well-informed federal decisions. Provides general BCA/CEA guidance and specific discount-rate policy for time-distributed benefits and costs. Revised 2023; rescinds 1992 A-94.

Mandatory vs suggested

ContextForce
Analyses to OMB under A-11 / A-19 / 1992 Presidential Memo estimatesMust follow
Internal Executive Branch planningSuggested
Law / EO / other circulars prescribe methodsThose control

Analysis spine

  1. Decision question + alternatives + baseline
  2. Identify/measure social benefits and costs (opportunity cost; transfers separated)
  3. Align inflation basis
  4. Discount with A-94 class-appropriate real/nominal rates
  5. Characterize uncertainty + sensitivity
  6. Report distributional incidence
  7. Document transparently for decision makers/OMB

BCA vs CEA

  • BCA: Monetize benefits and costs → discounted net benefits / NPV
  • CEA: When benefits fixed or not monetized → compare costs for effect (still discount correctly)

Pack scope note

Built as A-94 only after P7-PRE-2 dual-document gate: Army Cost Benefit Analysis Guide could not be retrieved (ASAFM host 403 from this environment). Do not expect Army CEAC step templates here.

Chapter Index

#SectionKey content
ch01Purpose, Scope, PrinciplesGoal, authority, mandatory use, BCA/CEA elements
ch02Benefits and CostsBaseline, opportunity cost, inflation consistency
ch03Discount Rate PolicyReal/nominal rates, analysis classes, NPV
ch04UncertaintyExpected values, sensitivity, explicit risk adjustments
ch05Distributional EffectsGroups, weights, economic incidence
ch06Reporting and Decision UseOMB-grade documentation, limitations

Topic Index

  • Baseline / with-without → ch02
  • BCA vs CEA → ch01, ch02
  • Decision Analysis → ch04, ch06
  • Discount rates (real/nominal) → ch03
  • Distributional weights → ch05
  • Economic incidence → ch05
  • Expected value → ch04
  • Inflation treatment → ch02, ch03
  • Lease-purchase / asset sales rates → ch03
  • Net present value (NPV) → ch03, ch06
  • OMB A-11 / A-19 submissions → ch01, ch06
  • Opportunity cost → ch02
  • Opportunity cost / benefit identification → ch01, ch02, ch06
  • Sensitivity analysis → ch04
  • Social vs budget cost → ch02
  • Transfers → ch02, ch05
  • Uncertainty adjustments → ch04

Supporting Files

Scope & Limits

This pack covers OMB Circular A-94, revised November 9, 2023 (28 pages per extraction metadata) as synthesized reference notes on federal BCA/CEA guidelines and discount-rate policy.

Rescope (P7-PRE-2): Planned dual source was A-94 + US Army Cost Benefit Analysis Guide. The Army PDF was not retrievable (ASAFM 403 / Wayback 503 from the build environment). Per hard gate rules, the pack was rescoped to the surviving in-source-clean document (A-94) rather than generating Army content without evidence. Re-expand if the Army guide becomes fetchable.

It does not cover: full OMB Circular A-11 budget formulation; agency-specific statutory BCA regimes; private-sector CFA/WACC practice as a substitute for A-94; or Army CEAC process templates. US Government public domain work. No source-material download link is published.

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