「estimate」の検索結果

Use when the user asks to "map what our surfaces say today", "inventory our current messaging", or "find the gap between what we say and what we mean"; produces the narrative baseline — a surface-by-surface inventory of what every owned touchpoint (homepage, pricing, docs, decks, social bios, email footers) claims RIGHT NOW, each line labeled Measured / User-provided / Estimated, plus a per-surface gap read vs the intended message and the drift-baseline snapshot the Evaluate phase measures future drift against. Not for authoring the canon — use message-system-architect; not for scoring the surfaces or running the vetoes — use narrative-quality-auditor. 现状叙事盘点/各触点口径/意图差距/漂移基线

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Use when the user asks to "design an early access program", "set up a waitlist and beta stages", or "define beta graduation criteria"; produces a waitlist→concept→alpha→beta→GA stage ladder with per-stage purpose and opt-in semantics, quantified graduation criteria per stage (labeled Estimated), a cohort-gating and invite-throttling plan, tester recruitment with launch-day social-proof prep, a feedback-loop spec where every status change notifies its subscribers, and a referral-loop mechanism spec (invite codes, anti-abuse). Not for waitlist acquisition strategy or the capture-flow spec — use list-growth-designer; not for the canonical stage record — use launch-registry. waitlist/内测阶梯/抢先体验/毕业标准/反馈闭环

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Use when the user asks to "figure out where our direct traffic really comes from", "measure dark social", "add a how-did-you-hear-about-us field", or "show social drives signups without click data"; produces a share-link/UTM hygiene spec for owned share surfaces, a self-reported attribution field design that replaces an existing form field (free-text first, coded later), a GA4 direct-traffic decomposition read (deep-URL directs, mobile-app skew, private-push correlation) with every derived number hard-labeled Estimated/proxy, and a branded-search-lift proxy from GSC plus Wikipedia pageviews — the declared dark-social method behind ECHO O2. Not for paid-channel attribution reconciliation (platform-claimed vs analytics conversions) — use attribution-reconciler. 暗社交归因/直接流量分解/自报来源字段/分享链路UTM

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Use when the user asks to "build our social crisis protocol", "mentions are exploding — what do we do first", or "when do we pause the posting queue"; produces a 1-5 severity ladder with tunable Estimated trigger thresholds (mention-velocity multiples vs the 7-day listening baseline, sentiment flip, journalist/regulator contact, employee-conduct class), the first-mechanical-action rule — pause ALL scheduled posts AND paid amplification, with dated state markers dropped to the channels proposal protocol and reconciled post-incident — a pre-approved holding-statement library with committed update cadences, when-NOT-to-post rules, a spokesperson/approval matrix, and a post-crisis retro template; re-runs the social-quality-auditor pre-publish gate before un-pausing the queue. Not for email deliverability incidents (blocklist, spam-rate spikes) — use deliverability-qa; inside a launch window launch-day-conductor owns incident handling. 社媒危机预案/暂停队列/声明库/发言人矩阵

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Use when the user asks to "track competitor influencer marketing", "see who my rivals partner with", or "benchmark my influencer program"; produces a competitor partnership roster, campaign and content-strategy breakdown, performance estimates, and a gap/opportunity list. Not for finding your own new creators — use influencer-discovery. 竞品达人合作追踪/竞品营销分析

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Use when the user asks to "map what our buyers believe", "capture the objections we keep hearing", or "find the switching forces that move the beachhead"; produces a belief map of the beachhead — held beliefs and mental models, the recurring objections and their reframes, and the JTBD four forces (push of the problem, pull of the new, anxiety of switching, habit of the present) — each item sourced from interviews or win-loss notes (User-provided) and labeled Measured / User-provided / Estimated, with any unverified quote or comparative claim marked "[needs source]" and routed to the claims candidates, never adjudicated here. Not for demographic or persona profiling — use audience-mapper; not for the positioning canvas — use positioning-truth-tracer. 受众信念/异议地图/切换四力/流失语言

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Small-business bookkeeping skills for converting financial evidence into accountant-reviewable outputs, including setup/context, receipt processing, expense categorization, bank reconciliation, tax preparation, monthly close, jurisdiction-aware tax references, plus specialized skills for home office, vehicle, meals, depreciation, 1099 contractors, and estimated taxes. Trigger on "help me with my bookkeeping", "set up my bookkeeping", "bookkeeping context", "chart of accounts", "process my receipts", "categorize expenses", "reconcile my bank statement", "get my books ready for taxes", "close the month", "organize my finances".

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Report AI token usage and estimated costs. Use when: owner asks about costs today/yesterday/this week, per session, or per model. Shows main session, cron jobs, and subagents. Answers: 'how much did today cost?', 'how much was this session?', 'what was last week's spend?'

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Use when working with Aws Rightsizing — analyze EC2, RDS, EBS, and Lambda resource utilization to identify right-sizing opportunities. Uses CloudWatch metrics with anti-hallucination rules for burstable instances, memory metrics, peak vs average analysis, and estimated monthly savings calculations.

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Use when working with Gcp Idle Resources — detect unused and idle GCP resources that incur cost without providing value. Covers unattached Persistent Disks, unused external IPs, stopped VMs, idle Cloud NAT, idle load balancers, old snapshots, idle Cloud SQL instances, abandoned GKE node pools, unused VPC connectors, and orphaned Filestore instances. Includes estimated monthly waste per resource and anti-hallucination rules for safe detection.

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Analyze Compute Engine VM, Cloud SQL, Persistent Disk, and serverless (Cloud Functions/Cloud Run) utilization to identify right-sizing opportunities. Uses Cloud Monitoring metrics with anti-hallucination rules for E2 shared-core instances, sole-tenant nodes, preemptible/spot VMs, SUD eligibility, peak vs average analysis, CUD-aware savings, and estimated monthly savings calculations.

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Use when working with Aws Idle Resources — detect unused and idle AWS resources that incur cost without providing value. Covers detached EBS volumes, idle load balancers, unused Elastic IPs, stopped EC2 instances, idle NAT Gateways, old snapshots, and unused ENIs. Includes estimated monthly waste per resource and anti-hallucination rules for safe detection.

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As a heavy Claude Code user, Simon estimates his own usage at the equivalent of 4,400 "typical queries" to an LLM, for an equivalent of around $15-$20

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Estimate AI-assisted and hybrid human+agent development work with research-backed PERT statistics and calibration feedback loops

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When the user wants to analyze their own app's actual performance data from App Store Connect — real downloads, revenue, IAP, subscriptions, trials, or country breakdowns synced via Appeeky Connect. Use when the user asks about "my downloads", "my revenue", "how is my app performing", "ASC data", "sales and trends", "my subscription numbers", "App Store Connect metrics", or wants to compare periods or top markets. For third-party app estimates, see app-analytics. For subscription analytics depth, see monetization-strategy.

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Use when: planner mode, planning mode, proposal, scope definition, estimate, timeline, client message, external communication, pricing, delivery confidence, commercial risk, or project delivery planning.

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Build robust, production-grade backtesting systems that avoid common pitfalls and produce reliable strategy performance estimates.

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Investigate model specifications, requirements, and evaluation strategy. Use when researching a model before benchmarking: reading HuggingFace model cards, estimating VRAM requirements, selecting GPU providers, and determining evaluation approach. Triggers on "model research", "investigate model", "model info", "VRAM estimate", "which provider", "model card".

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Analyze CGM blood glucose data from Nightscout. Use this skill when asked about current glucose levels, blood sugar trends, A1C estimates, time-in-range statistics, glucose variability, or diabetes management insights.

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Meta-analysis / evidence synthesis — pool effect sizes across studies (odds ratios, risk ratios, hazard ratios, mean differences, correlations, GWAS betas) with fixed- or random-effects models, quantify heterogeneity (Q, I², τ²), and build a forest plot. Use when you have results from MULTIPLE studies and need a single pooled estimate, or to synthesize evidence from a systematic review / multiple GWAS / replicated experiments. Handles the error-prone effect-size + standard-error preparation (converting OR/HR/CI, two-group means±SD, proportions, and correlations into the (effect, SE) the pooling step needs).

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Estimates the minimum biological replicates (or cells/events) for a target power at a target FDR in genomics experiments using ssizeRNA, PROPER, powsimR for scRNA-seq, and pilot-data dispersion estimation from DESeq2/edgeR. Covers the biological-versus-technical replication distinction (technical replicates do not add degrees of freedom for biological inference), replicate-number-versus-sequencing-depth budgeting, scRNA-seq sample-versus-cell allocation under a pseudobulk model, and the critique that "n=3" is a publication convention rather than a power calculation. Use when budgeting a sequencing experiment, writing the sample-size justification in a grant, estimating replicates from pilot data, allocating a fixed budget between samples and depth, or planning scRNA-seq cohort size. For clinical-trial sample size see clinical-biostatistics/power-and-sample-size; for the power-given-n direction see experimental-design/power-analysis.

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Bayesian parameter estimation with MCMC (emcee) and probabilistic programming (PyMC). Posterior distributions, corner plots, model evidence, convergence diagnostics. Use when you need full posterior distributions, not just point estimates.

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Cell-free DNA analysis pipeline from plasma sequencing to tumor monitoring. Preprocesses cfDNA reads, analyzes fragment patterns, estimates tumor fraction from sWGS, and optionally detects mutations from targeted panels. Use when analyzing liquid biopsy samples for cancer detection or monitoring.

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Go through an interview that has just finished and sort out what happened: the questions asked and how fully they were answered, which of them were prepared for and which came from the submitted documents, the reverse questions still unanswered, what the employer said about conditions and whether any of it was in writing, and when a result was promised. Use when a user has just come out of an interview and wants to record it while it is fresh or to work out what to fix before the next round; do not use to judge how it went, to estimate whether they will pass, or to read anything into the interviewer's manner.

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