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aistats-topic-selection

Use when deciding whether a project is a strong AISTATS fit, comparing AISTATS with NeurIPS, ICML, ICLR, UAI, COLT, JMLR, statistics journals, or application venues, identifying the statistical primitive of the contribution, and sharpening the AI-statistics framing before writing begins.

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AISTATS Topic Selection

Use this before writing. AISTATS is strongest for work at the intersection of artificial intelligence, machine learning, and statistics, especially when statistical reasoning is not merely an evaluation detail.

Fit test

  • Prefer AISTATS when the contribution advances statistical foundations, inference, uncertainty, causal or probabilistic modeling, learning theory, optimization, or empirical methodology with clear AI/ML relevance.
  • Route to ICML, NeurIPS, or ICLR if the main contribution is broad ML systems, representation learning, scaling, or deep learning practice with limited statistical novelty.
  • Route to UAI if the contribution is primarily uncertainty, probabilistic graphical models, causality, decision making under uncertainty, or Bayesian reasoning.
  • Route to COLT if the contribution is mainly formal learning theory and the empirical story is secondary.
  • Route to a statistics journal when the work needs journal-length exposition, extensive proofs, or a statistics audience more than an AI conference audience.
  • Check early whether the result can be made convincing in an 8-page submission body.

Fit signal table

Signal in the projectAISTATS reading
Consistency, minimax rate, regret, or coverage result paired with experimentsCore fit — the house genre
Bayesian, causal, kernel, or high-dimensional methodology with guaranteesCore fit
Deep architecture with strong benchmarks but thin theoryBetter served at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR
Pure theory with no plausible experimentCOLT or a statistics journal
Probabilistic reasoning without a learning angleUAI or a statistics venue

Vignette: where a debiased estimator goes

A project delivers a debiased lasso variant with valid confidence intervals in high dimensions and simulations confirming coverage. AISTATS reading: strong fit — an inference guarantee plus validating experiments is exactly what this venue rewards. Strip the inference theory and keep only prediction benchmarks, and the same project belongs at a general ML venue; grow it into journal-length asymptotic refinements, and Annals of Statistics or JMLR becomes the better home.

Sharpening moves before committing

  • Name the statistical primitive: estimator, test, bound, posterior, or identification result. If no primitive exists, the AISTATS framing does not exist either.
  • Verify the proof load fits the format: the appendix may be long, but the 8-page body must carry the argument's spine on its own.
  • Confirm the experiments can be designed to test the theory rather than merely accompany it; decoration-only benchmarks are a quiet fit failure here.
  • Topic emphasis drifts between cycles; scan the current CFP subject-area list before final routing.

Output format

[Fit] strong AISTATS / possible AISTATS / better elsewhere
[Best venue] AISTATS / NeurIPS / ICML / ICLR / UAI / COLT / journal / other
[Contribution sentence] <one sentence>
[Top rejection risk] <novelty/statistics/evidence/clarity/scope>
[Next action] <theory, experiment, framing, or venue switch>

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