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Create disk images for investigations using dd or dcfldd on Linux. The workflow covers write protection, bit-for-bit copying, hash checks to verify integrity, and documentation of the acquisition process.
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Create formula-based Excel valuation workbooks for public companies using discounted cash flow, a method that converts future cash flows into present value. Include per-share estimates, assumption sensitivities, source records, and checks that flag model limitations.
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根据上市公司的财务数据预测未来现金流，用现金流折现法估算每股内在价值，并生成记录计算假设、资料来源和敏感性分析的估值报告。
Discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation model for A-share equities. This alias skill redirects to china-dcf, which provides comprehensive DCF modeling adapted for Chinese market conventions. Triggers on "A股DCF模型", "DCF估值", "DCF model China", "现金流折现", "discounted cash flow A-share", or "DCF [company]".
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Builds an Excel model to estimate a company’s equity value from future cash flows. It calculates financing costs, compares three business scenarios, and shows how changes in growth, margins, and other assumptions affect valuation.
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Build formula-driven Excel financial models for linked financial statements, business valuation, and fundraising forecasts. Separate assumptions, calculations, and results, compare scenarios, and check that statement balances and saved calculation results are consistent.
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Build financial models for valuation and investment analysis using discounted future cash flows, assumption testing, and probability simulations. Outputs include Excel models, comparison tables, charts, and valuation ranges to examine possible outcomes and risks.
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Evaluate companies using projected cash flows, dividends, business segments, and comparisons with peers. Select suitable valuation methods, examine how assumptions change estimated value, and check for problems that can make a seemingly cheap stock misleading.
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Analyze financial statements, compare budgets with actual results, and forecast revenue and cash flow. Estimate company value using DCF, which discounts future cash flows, and produce reports with scenario comparisons and sensitivity tables for business decisions.
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Direct finance questions to the appropriate specialist skill: financial statement analysis or SaaS operating metrics. It helps choose the right workflow for valuation, budgets, recurring revenue, churn, and customer acquisition costs.
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Analyze company financial statements and ratios, then estimate value using projected cash flows and comparisons with similar businesses. Produce a valuation range, documented assumptions, scenario analysis, and risk assessment to support investment decisions.
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DCF valuation model, discounted cash flow, intrinsic value, WACC calculation, terminal value, free cash flow projection, equity value per share, DCF sensitivity analysis, unlevered free cash flow, present value calculation, build a DCF
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当用户在评估一只股票"便不便宜"、纠结该不该基于PE/PB做买卖决策、 或试图用DCF公式精算企业价值时，激活此skill。 核心判断信号：用户提到"估值""PE多少倍""DCF模型""算一算值多少钱"， 或在纠结"这个价格能不能买"。 此skill将估值从数学计算还原为商业判断——用"未来现金流折现"作为思维 方式而非公式，通过"毛估估"判断是否明显便宜，以"封仓十年"的视角检验 理解深度，用E/E替代PE以纳入负债影响。 不适用于：需要精确估值建模的场景（如并购定价）、短期交易择时、 无法产生现金流的资产（如加密货币）。
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M&Aアドバイザリー支援スキル。デューデリジェンス（DD）実施、企業価値評価（バリュエーション）、 シナジー分析、PMI（Post Merger Integration）計画策定を包括的に支援。 Use when conducting M&A due diligence (Financial, Legal, IT, HR), company valuation (DCF, Comparable Companies, Precedent Transactions), synergy analysis, or post-merger integration planning. Triggers: "M&A", "デューデリジェンス", "DD", "バリュエーション", "企業価値評価", "DCF", "comparable", "類似企業", "先行取引", "PMI", "統合計画", "シナジー分析", "買収", "合併"
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将未来现金流折算为现值，生成计算企业价值和每股估值的Excel文件。支持修改假设后重新计算、比较不同情景，并通过敏感性分析查看估值变化。
DCF valuation model for A-share stocks using Chinese financial data. Uses AkShare MCP for financial statements, WACC inputs (risk-free rate from China government bond yields), and growth projections. Use instead of the original dcf-model skill for Chinese equities.
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Real DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) model creation for equity valuation. Retrieves financial data from SEC filings and analyst reports, builds comprehensive cash flow projections with proper WACC calculations, performs sensitivity analysis, and outputs professional Excel models with executive summaries. Use when users need to value a company using DCF methodology, request intrinsic value analysis, or ask for detailed financial modeling with growth projections and terminal value calculations.
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Reverse DCF valuation, implied growth rate, market expectations analysis, reverse discounted cash flow, implied valuation assumptions, market-implied projections, DCF sanity check
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投行并购 (投行并购 / 交易撮合 (Investment Banking M&A / Dealmaking) — 面向并购顾问、企业融资、卖方/买方交易执行的职业认知操作系统，从业者(分析师 Analyst / 经理 Associate / 副总裁 VP / 董事 Director / 董事总经理 MD / 内部公司发展 Corp Dev / PE 投资人)、想入行者、以及服务这行(法律/会计/估值/咨询)的视角。覆盖: (a) 第一性张力 — 投行 M&A 的核心世界观分歧: **价格 vs 价值 (price 是市场愿意付的, value 是内在的, deal 在两者缝隙里成交) ⇄ 确定性 vs 最高价 (certainty of close 对卖方常胜过纸面最高报价) ⇄ 顾问/中介 vs 委托代理 (banker 是 agent, 客户利益 vs 成交费的激励冲突真实存在, 「banker 总想成交」是行业原罪批判)**; 更深层 — 「过程/竞价纪律 (controlled auction 制造竞争张力、信息不对称管理) ⇄ 关系/信任 (relationship banking、长期 coverage、reputational capital)」, 「叙事/包装 (the story, equity story, positioning) ⇄ 数字/尽调 (the numbers, diligence, quality of earnings)」, 「估值的科学外衣 (DCF/comps 的伪精确) ⇄ 谈判的真实定价 (价格由 leverage、竞争、时机决定)」; (b) 估值与分析正典 (最标准化、最易蒸出高质量+CLI 化) — DCF (折现现金流: FCF 预测/WACC 折现率/terminal value 终值/Gordon growth vs exit multiple), Comparable Companies (可比公司/trading comps: EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, P/E), Precedent Transactions (先例交易/deal comps: control premium 控制权溢价), LBO (杠杆收购模型: IRR/MOIC/debt schedule/sources & uses), Accretion/Dilution (增厚/摊薄分析: EPS 影响、pro forma), Sum-of-the-Parts (分部估值/SOTP), Football Field (估值区间图), Merger Model (合并模型: synergies 协同/purchase accounting/goodwill), Sensitivity/scenario; (c) 交易流程与产出物 — 卖方流程 (sell-side: teaser 简介 → NDA → CIM/IM 信息备忘录 → management presentation → IOI 意向函 → data room 数据室 → LOI/term sheet → confirmatory diligence → SPA 买卖协议 → signing → closing), 买方流程 (buy-side: thesis/sourcing → outreach → valuation → bid → exclusivity → diligence → financing → close), auction 类型 (broad/targeted/negotiated/preemptive bid); 产出物: pitchbook 推介材料、CIM、fairness opinion 公平意见、board presentation、fee letter、engagement letter; (d) 交易结构与条款 — consideration (cash/stock/mix/earnout 对赌)、deal protections (breakup fee 分手费/go-shop/no-shop/MAC 重大不利变化条款)、representations & warranties 陈述与保证、escrow 托管、working capital adjustment 营运资金调整、reverse termination fee、collar 价格区间、tender offer vs merger、hostile vs friendly、defensive tactics (poison pill 毒丸/white knight 白衣骑士/staggered board); (e) 行业结构与角色 — bulge bracket (高盛/摩根士丹利/JPM/BofA/花旗) vs elite boutique (Centerview/Evercore/Moelis/Lazard/PJT/Perella) vs middle market (Houlihan Lokey/William Blair/Harris Williams) vs regional/independent; analyst→associate→VP→director→MD 晋升金字塔; coverage (行业组) vs product (M&A/ECM/DCM/leveraged finance/restructuring); sponsors group (服务 PE); 买方包括 PE/strategic acquirer/corp dev; (f) 量化指标与节奏 — deal fee (success fee 业内通常约 1-2% 视规模递减/retainer/Lehman formula)、league table 排行榜、pitch→mandate 转化、deal velocity、hours culture (analyst 80-100h/week 文化批判)、bonus/comp 结构、deal sheet (简历上的成交清单); (g) 争议/批判 — fairness opinion 是否橡皮图章 (利益冲突: 出意见的 banker 也收成交费)、estimate 的伪精确 (DCF garbage in garbage out、假设驱动结论)、banker 永远建议成交 (deal 偏见、empire building 助推 CEO 自利并购)、协同效应系统性高估 (大量并购毁灭价值、winner's curse 赢家诅咒)、analyst 血汗工厂文化 (2021 高盛 13 人 deck 事件、过劳死争议)、advisory 价值 vs 中介寻租之争、bulge vs boutique 的利益独立性叙事 (boutique 标榜「无承销利益冲突」)、SPAC 泡沫与 de-SPAC 教训; (h) 流派/思想谱系 — 估值学派 (Aswath Damodaran 估值教父/纽大、Tim Koller McKinsey《Valuation》、McKinsey valuation 体系) vs 公司金融教科书派 (Rosenbaum & Pearl《Investment Banking》行业圣经、Brealey Myers Allen、CFI/WSP/BIWS 培训体系) vs 交易实战派 (Bruce Wasserstein《Big Deal》、Joseph Perella/Felix Rohatyn 老派 dealmaker、现代 boutique 创始人) vs 行为/批判派 (并购毁灭价值的学术证据、Damodaran 对协同/控制权溢价的批判、Matt Levine《Money Stuff》解构华尔街逻辑) vs PE/buy-side 视角 (LBO 数学、value creation 杠杆/运营/multiple expansion)。不含: 二级市场股票交易/卖方研究 (equity research)、零售财富管理/private banking、纯 ECM/IPO 承销执行 (虽相关但聚焦 M&A advisory)、纯 PE 投后运营、量化交易/对冲基金策略、纯公司财务报表会计。) Master OS — automated mastery of 投行并购 / 交易撮合 (Investment Banking M&A / Dealmaking) — 面向并购顾问、企业融资、卖方/买方交易执行的职业认知操作系统，从业者(分析师 Analyst / 经理 Associate / 副总裁 VP / 董事 Director / 董事总经理 MD / 内部公司发展 Corp Dev / PE 投资人)、想入行者、以及服务这行(法律/会计/估值/咨询)的视角。覆盖: (a) 第一性张力 — 投行 M&A 的核心世界观分歧: **价格 vs 价值 (price 是市场愿意付的, value 是内在的, deal 在两者缝隙里成交) ⇄ 确定性 vs 最高价 (certainty of close 对卖方常胜过纸面最高报价) ⇄ 顾问/中介 vs 委托代理 (banker 是 agent, 客户利益 vs 成交费的激励冲突真实存在, 「banker 总想成交」是行业原罪批判)**; 更深层 — 「过程/竞价纪律 (controlled auction 制造竞争张力、信息不对称管理) ⇄ 关系/信任 (rela
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Financial statements, business segments, dividends, valuation multiples (PE/PB/PS), industry comparison, operating data, corporate actions, company and executive profiles, cross-stock comparison, and valuation ranking via Longbridge. Also: DCF models, value investing screens (low PE/PB, margin of safety), and behavioral finance analysis frameworks. Triggers: "财报", "三表", "利润表", "资产负债", "现金流", "估值", "PE", "PB", "分红", "公司信息", "高管", "行业估值", "并购", "DCF", "内在价值", "低估值", "安全边际", "行为金融", "小盘成长", "专精特新", "主营业务", "业务构成", "收入结构", "业务分析", "是做什么的", "是干嘛的", "公司画像", "行业排名", "行业龙头", "市场份额", "收入占比", "业务结构", "財報", "估值", "分紅", "內在價值", "安全邊際", "主營業務", "業務構成", "收入結構", "行業排名", "行業龍頭", "financial report", "income statement", "balance sheet", "valuation", "dividend", "company info", "industry valuation", "DCF", "value screen", "behavioral finance", "main business", "business composition", "revenue structure", "what does XX do", "industry ranking", "market share", "利潤表", "資產負債", "現金流", "行業估值", "併購", "行為金融", "小盤成長"
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Performs discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation analysis to estimate intrinsic value per share. Triggers when user asks for fair value, intrinsic value, DCF, valuation, "what is X worth", price target, undervalued/overvalued analysis, or wants to compare current price to fundamental value.
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Create forensically sound bit-for-bit disk images using dd and dcfldd while preserving evidence integrity through hash verification.
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Create forensically sound bit-for-bit disk images using dd and dcfldd while preserving evidence integrity through hash verification.
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Build institutional-quality DCF valuation models in Excel — revenue projections, FCF build, WACC, terminal value, Bear/Base/Bull scenarios, 5x5 sensitivity tables. Pairs with excel-author. Use for intrinsic-value equity analysis.
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