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Bayesian parameter estimation with MCMC (emcee) and probabilistic programming (PyMC). Posterior distributions, corner plots, model evidence, convergence diagnostics. Use when you need full posterior distributions, not just point estimates.
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Think and work like an expert Astrostatistician. Use when a task calls for Astrostatistician judgment. Reasons from selection functions, censored flux limits, and look-elsewhere trial factors through Cobaya/emcee/dynesty cosmology, GP-coupled exoplanet inference, Landy–Szalay clustering, photo-z σNMAD calibration, and SBI (sbi/LtU-ILI) while treating Malmquist bias, prior-driven tensions, and detrend-then-fit transit bias as first-class failure modes.
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