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Review investment and business decisions using frameworks drawn from Charlie Munger’s public work. Examine failure paths, thinking biases, and incentives, compare opposing evidence, and identify questions that fall outside the available knowledge.
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Examine career and collaboration choices through the principal-agent problem: differences between an owner's interests and those of someone acting for them. The skill helps assess how rewards connect to value created and where partners' incentives may diverge.
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Threat-models protocols where authority, scarce resources, bonds, bounties, escrow, reputation, ordering, adjudication, or settlement create strategic incentives. Use to test attack utility, conservation, collusion, Sybil resistance, oracle capture, griefing, custody, liquidity, and residual risk. NOT for choosing payment or bond amounts without evidence, smart-contract code audit, legal or employment classification, DeFi trading, admitting workers, or settling claims.
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Analyze corporate events in China's A-share market, including mergers, major shareholder transactions, equity incentives, and financing. Calculate acquisition price gaps, assess dilution and delisting risks, and organize event timing, signals, and risks into a report.
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Design customer referral and affiliate programs with clear rewards, sharing steps, and measurement plans. Use customer value and acquisition costs to compare incentives, diagnose weak points in existing programs, and prepare partner recruitment materials and launch checklists.
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Build and estimate economic models that represent underlying choices and incentives. Get guidance on demand, dynamic choice, and auction models, select estimation methods, and diagnose numerical problems such as failed convergence or sensitivity to starting values.
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Use when the user asks to "plan the participation ramp before we promote", "how much account history or karma do we need in this community", or "design entry incentives and member lifecycle for our own Discord"; produces the per-community pre-promotion warming plan — account-history/tenure expectations (Estimated, named sources), a give-before-ask ledger spec, a per-community etiquette + rule digest with last-verified dates, and the warming → active graduation criteria that channel-registry requires as state-transition evidence — plus the owned-community variant (entry paths + member lifecycle for your own Discord/Slack/forum/企业微信私域). Not for launch-day submissions or T-0 threads — use community-launch-runner. 社区预热/先给后取/账号养成/毕业标准
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Use when evaluating crypto protocols through a Paradigm-style research lens: mechanism design, protocol fundamentals, L2/MEV/incentives, and research-driven crypto investing.
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Use when evaluating a decision through Charlie Munger-style mental models: inversion, incentives, quality filters, multidisciplinary reasoning, and concentrated judgment.
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When a change has effects past the immediate fix—incentives, scale, feedback—trace consequence chains with timing and probability before committing.
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Help users master the art of leading without formal authority by identifying stakeholder incentives, neutralizing conflict through connection, and using co-creation to build shared ownership.
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Etsy review generation — thank you cards, follow-up messages, photo review incentives
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When the user wants to plan, implement, or optimize referral program strategy. Also use when the user mentions "referral program," "referral marketing," "user referral," "refer-a-friend," "word-of-mouth growth," "referral rewards," "referral tracking," "referral code," "referral incentives," or "viral loop." For referral landing copy, use landing-page-generator.
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When the user wants to plan, implement, or optimize creator program strategy. Also use when the user mentions "creator program," "creator partnership," "content co-creation," "creator ambassador," "creator economy," "creator collaboration," "UGC program," "creator incentives," or "creator community." For influencers, use influencer-marketing.
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Designing first-run product onboarding wizards that get users to the ah-ha moment without overwhelming them. Step architecture, progressive disclosure, escape hatches, completion incentives, drop-off measurement. Honest about tutorial-overload (dump everything upfront), skip-friendly-empty (skipped onboarding leads to abandoned product), and earned-progressive-disclosure (right things at the right moments) patterns. Triggers on onboarding wizard, product onboarding, first-run experience, signup flow, activation flow, FRX, time-to-value, ah-ha moment design. Also triggers when activation rates are low, when users skip onboarding and never return, when onboarding flows are being scoped for the first time, or when audience research shows users not finding key features.
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Brand Tailored Promotions — audience targeting, discount tiers, customer segmentation, repeat purchase incentives
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Use when customers should bring other customers — one-way versus two-way incentives, reward structure and economics, trigger moments, referral messaging, tracking and attribution, fraud controls, and anti-spam compliance by region: TCPA for US, GDPR for EU, PDPA for SEA, LGPD for LATAM. Trigger on 'referral program', 'refer a friend', 'word of mouth', 'viral loop', 'how do I get customers to bring friends', 'affiliate rewards'. Also use when the user has happy customers and no system to use them. Not for — running your own community space, see `28-community-building-global`; posting inside third-party communities, see `38-community-seeding-global`; email flow mechanics, see `14-email-marketing-global`.
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Applies the philosophical frameworks of Plato (ancient Greek philosopher, Theory of Forms, founder of the Academy) to structural, ethical, and epistemological problems. Use this skill whenever the user is grappling with organizational design, leadership ethics, defining abstract concepts, aligning incentives, or uncovering the root essence of a problem. Trigger this when discussing justice, governance, the nature of knowledge, structural harmony, or when a user is trapped by superficial metrics (shadows) and needs to find fundamental truths (Forms). Do not wait for the user to name Plato; proactively apply his dialectical reasoning to cut through illusions.
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Applies the strategic frameworks and mental models of Anne Wojcicki, co-founder and CEO of 23andMe. Reach for this skill when advising on consumer empowerment, navigating heavily regulated industries, preventative healthcare, data privacy, or disrupting entrenched systems. Use this when the user is dealing with misaligned industry incentives, facing regulatory hurdles, building a consumer-research flywheel, or managing a team through a post-launch 'trough of sorrow'. Apply her principles of 'speaking with data', treating users as partners, and pushing for decade-long systemic change from the outside.
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Suede-owned referral and affiliate program discipline. Use when designing refer-a-friend mechanics, ambassador or partner incentives, fraud controls, attribution, payout logic, or viral-loop measurement. NOT FOR: executing payouts or changing billing, launch-wide packaging (use suede-launch-packaging), lifecycle messaging (use suede-emails), or reporting unverified referral lift.
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Game-theory primitives for divergent incentives: Nash equilibrium, auctions, mechanism design, collusion, bargaining, reputation. Use when modeling strategic play.
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"Apply public choice theory to analyze political decision-making as rational self-interested behavior. Use this skill when the user needs to evaluate government policy failures, rent-seeking costs, voting outcomes, or bureaucratic incentives, especially when the assumption of benevolent government is questionable.".
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"Apply basic game theory concepts including Nash equilibrium, dominant strategies, and the Prisoner's Dilemma to analyze strategic interactions. Use this skill when the user needs to model competitive decisions, predict rival behavior, design incentive mechanisms, or evaluate cooperation vs competition scenarios — even if they say 'what will our competitor do', 'should we cooperate or compete', or 'how do we set up the right incentives'.".
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Rebate Management setup: rebate types, payout calculations, accruals, partner rebates, program setup, compliance reporting. NOT for Sales Agreements or channel revenue management — use integration/manufacturing-cloud-setup. NOT for CPQ discounts on quotes — use admin/cpq-pricing-rules.
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