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cccskills
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challenge

Adversarial verification of research theses — cross-run/cross-thesis contradiction via the entity index, pre-mortem (Klarman/Kahneman: assume the loss already happened, reverse the path), inversion (Munger: invert, always invert), and wrong_if falsifiability review. ≈50-finding cap sorted by severity; content-derived finding IDs; incremental scoping with three backstops; lifecycle hooks at pillar-complete / thesis-complete / pre-reduction.

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查看安装方法

包含的文件(2)

  • SKILL.md2.9 KB
  • references/modes.md511 B

SKILL.md(原文)

安装前可以查看交给 AI 代理的指令内容。

agentii.challenge

The buyer-side IC verb: challenge the thesis. Not audit — that name was taken three times (audit-xls, quality-audit.yaml, G3) — challenge is the thing that happens in an investment committee.

Method bodies (the four angles)

  1. Cross-run contradiction — the entity index (reduce_journals.build_entity_index): same (entity, metric, period) with different values. Same retrieved_at → true contradiction; different → suspected restatement. The validator never auto-resolves — candidates go to the IC agenda.
  2. Pre-mortem — assume the loss already happened; reconstruct the path backwards. Which pillar failed first? What data would have to be wrong?
  3. Inversion — what would make this thesis a sell? What would the bear's best case look like? What would falsify the conviction, not just the claim?
  4. wrong_if falsifiability — is each falsifier mechanically checkable (metric + threshold + source)? A prose falsifier is not a falsifier (Q8-4).

Economics (Q40/Q68)

  • Findings: ≈50 cap, severity-sorted; overflow aggregates by category.
  • Finding IDs are content-derived (hash(entity+metric+period+gap_type)) — unchanged re-runs yield byte-identical IDs (eval corpus comparability).
  • Scope is incremental (artifacts whose pins/as_of changed since last run) with three backstops: every Nth converge / constitution MINOR-MAJOR / subscription change (new subscriptions create new comparison pairs — Q9).
  • Lifecycle hooks: pillar-complete (cheap, early) / thesis-complete (final line) / pre-reduction (claims entering the portfolio are adversarially verified). Unchallenged claims never enter the knowledge base (Q64).

Invocation

# Resolve the kit root first — contracts/kit-root.md. The kit's scripts do NOT ship
# with the skills, so never assume the CWD is the checkout.
KIT=""
for c in "${AGENTII_KIT_ROOT:-}" \
         "$(cat "$HOME/.claude/skills/agentii/.kit-root" 2>/dev/null)" \
         "${CLAUDE_PLUGIN_ROOT:-}"; do
  [ -n "$c" ] && [ -f "$c/scripts/agentii_cmd.py" ] && { KIT="$c"; break; }
done
if [ -z "$KIT" ]; then d="$PWD"; while [ "$d" != "/" ]; do
  [ -f "$d/scripts/agentii_cmd.py" ] && { KIT="$d"; break; }; d="$(dirname "$d")"; done; fi
[ -n "$KIT" ] || { echo "agentii kit not found — see contracts/kit-root.md" >&2; exit 1; }

python3 "$KIT/scripts/challenge.py" --nth-converge 10

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