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bzd-cumcm-school-awards

Query 2021-2025 CUMCM school awards and 2026 forecasts, or assess a student's preparation distance from provincial and national awards using school history and prior modeling experience.

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包含的文件(4)

  • SKILL.md2.9 KB
  • agents/openai.yaml255 B
  • assets/高教社杯国赛学校综合统计与2026预测.xlsx150.3 KB
  • scripts/query_school.py2.1 KB

SKILL.md(原文)

安装前可以查看交给 AI 代理的指令内容。

BZD CUMCM School Awards

Use the bundled workbook as the only source for school counts. Two modes: 学校画像 and 备赛进度评估.

查询

Run python scripts/query_school.py --school "学校名称" --region "赛区".

  • ok: output 2021-2025 first/second prizes, totals, 2026 forecast, frequent advisor and appearances.
  • ambiguous: show candidates and ask for confirmation.
  • not_found: output: “非常遗憾,按当前榜单口径,您所在的高校过去5年没有获得国奖成绩。对于这类学校,本年度可能获得国奖的经验概率为6.81%。” State that 6.81% is an owner-supplied school-level heuristic, not an individual probability or official result.

备赛评估

First query the school. Then ask only for missing information: 是否参加过其他数模竞赛、次数和名称、是否获奖及等级、完整模拟/论文次数、目标奖项. Output 学校基础、个人准备度、目标差距、下一步行动.

省三

  • No experience: recommend 1-2 complete timed simulations.
  • Prior competition with an award: encourage participation; one rehearsal if possible.
  • Prior competition without an award: use $bzd-review-paper when available to review the previous paper, then complete 1-2 simulations.
  • Say “具备省三竞争基础”; never promise an award.

省一/省二

  • Multiple non-CUMCM competitions with multiple awards: relatively strong competitiveness, subject to team and paper quality.
  • Otherwise: systematic course study plus about two complete practices using recent CUMCM problems, with full code, results and papers.
  • Say “达到较有竞争力的准备水平”; never say “稳定获奖”.

国奖

  • Analyze five-year awards, yearly stability and 2026 forecast first.
  • A positive school record improves opportunity but never allocates an award to the student.
  • For a well-prepared team at such a school after high-intensity practice, the owner's informal conditional estimate is 30%-50%; label it highly uncertain and do not turn the remainder into a precise luck probability.
  • For an unlisted school, use the 6.81% school-level heuristic and explain individual outcomes may differ substantially.
  • Recommend full-process simulations, post-mortems, stable roles, reproducible code, paper quality control and internal-selection awareness.

Safeguards

Preserve workbook values. Historical advisor frequency is correlation, not quota control. Do not use “预定、分配、保证”. Data ends in 2025 and 2026 is forecast. End every assessment with: “这是一项基于学校历史与个人经历的经验评估,不是官方概率,也不能承诺具体奖项。”

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