「estimate」の検索結果

Designs and diagnoses list experiments (the item count technique), covering whether indirect measurement is warranted, control-list construction against floor and ceiling effects, design variants, estimators and assumption tests in the list package, and power planning for the precision penalty. Use when the user measures a sensitive attitude or behavior and asks about list experiments, item count, unmatched count, or veiled questioning, or has an implausible prevalence estimate. Deciding whether sensitivity bias exists at all goes to survey-design.

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Runs end-stage QA on a finished figure and table set. Checks callouts, numbering, and cross-references, whether numbers in the text match the exhibits, self-contained captions and statistical notes, accessibility and production quality, and links to the SI and replication package. Values that could only be read off an image are marked for author verification rather than estimated. Use when preparing a submission. Design guidance during drafting belongs to figures and tables.

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Designs and diagnoses list experiments (the item count technique): whether indirect measurement is warranted, control-list construction, design variants, estimators and assumption tests in the list package, and power. Use when measuring a sensitive item or debugging an implausible prevalence estimate.

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Earnings analysis — pre- and post-earnings. Pre-earnings preview: prior-guidance review, recent-events tracking, last call's Q&A, and a key-things-to-watch framework for an upcoming release. Post-earnings: two tiers — a fast in-chat summary card (default) and a full Markdown research report (on request). Covers beat/miss, segments, margins, guidance, estimates, valuation. US / HK / A-share. Use whenever the user wants an earnings preview or a post-earnings / quarterly-results writeup. Triggers: "earnings update", "quarterly results", "Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4 results", "earnings report", "post-earnings analysis", "beat/miss", "guidance update", "earnings preview", "pre-earnings", "what to watch this earnings", "before earnings", "财报分析", "业绩更新", "季度业绩", "季报", "年报", "盈利分析", "财报点评", "财报前瞻", "业绩前瞻", "财报预览", "上季度指引", "財報分析", "業績更新", "季度業績", "季報", "年報", "財報點評", "財報前瞻", "業績前瞻", "財報預覽".

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Account assets, equity and fund positions, P&L, cash flow records, account statements, margin ratios, buy-power estimates, order management, and DCA recurring investments via Longbridge (most require Trade permission). Frameworks: portfolio diagnosis, rebalancing, asset allocation, risk analysis (VaR/CVaR), performance attribution, and tax-loss harvesting. Triggers: "持仓", "账户", "盈亏", "资产", "对账单", "下单", "买入", "卖出", "撤单", "定投", "组合诊断", "再平衡", "资产配置", "风险分析", "绩效归因", "税损收割", "持倉", "賬戶", "盈虧", "對賬單", "下單", "買入", "賣出", "組合診斷", "再平衡", "稅損收割", "positions", "portfolio", "P&L", "order", "buy", "sell", "DCA", "statement", "risk analysis", "rebalancing", "tax harvesting", "我的风险", "持仓风险", "风险敞口", "資產", "資產配置", "風險分析", "績效歸因", "撤單"

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Classifies raw pilot request → structured JSON {task_type, class, artifact, budget_estimate, confidence, routing_tag, resolution_path, schema_version, result_type, expected_result_kind, result_kind_resolution, hypothesis_relation}. Keyword-fast (<200ms) or Haiku fallback (<60s). Does NOT create WP or call executor.

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估计中国 A 股"国家队"(中央汇金)的宽基 ETF 持仓变动趋势——追踪上交所沪深300/上证50/中证500/中证1000/中证A500/科创50 的 ETF 份额变化,叠加各自指数走势,生成六合一总图与各指数单图。Estimates China's "national team" (Central Huijin) broad-base ETF positioning by tracking Shanghai Stock Exchange ETF share changes. Use when the user asks about 国家队持仓 / 国家队仓位 / 中央汇金持仓 / 国家队加仓 / 国家队减仓 / ETF份额变化 / 看看国家队 / national team holdings / Central Huijin positions.

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Pixel Path turns any two places (optionally via waypoints) into a pixel-art fly-through of the real road. It routes the trip, bakes the real buildings, land cover, landmarks, hills and horizon from OpenStreetMap and elevation data, generates scenery art with RetroDiffusion at a chosen level of detail (sparse, moderate or detailed; estimated up front, quoted exactly for free, budget-capped; free placeholder art also works), builds a page where you zoom along the route and scroll to go faster or slower, and runs a self-check that screenshots the result. Use when someone asks for a "pixel path", a "pixel road trip", to "drive" or "fly" from X to Y in pixel art, or a retro first-person view along a real route.

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Analyzes a project description and outputs a structured bid: scope, effort, tech risks, and optional pricing.

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Measure Mycelium's own scaffold token cost (CLAUDE.md + engine + harness + canvas + memory) and surface a structured estimate. One-shot audit; pair with /framework-health for trend tracking.

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Builds renewable energy yield models with resource assessment, capacity factor analysis, and P50/P90 production estimates. Use when modeling wind/solar yields, analyzing resource data, or evaluating production uncertainty.

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Evaluates mineral and hydrocarbon reserves with classification methodology, resource conversion rates, and valuation per unit analysis. Use when analyzing reserve reports, validating resource estimates, or assessing depletion profiles.

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Builds credible TAM/SAM/SOM analysis with external validation and sensitivity testing for startup fundraising: top-down, bottom-up, or both. Use when the user asks to size a market or check market claims and gives something to size: a product or service description, a market segment, or a deck with TAM/SAM/SOM claims. A full run takes about 15–20 minutes and searches the web, 30 or more with a large data room or a revision round, so for a passing question about market size, answer briefly in chat and offer the analysis instead of starting it. When it runs, every figure is externally sourced and stress-tested, never estimated from memory.

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Estimate per-turn token attribution across 6 categories in Claude Code sessions to show where context budget is spent

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Manage Backblaze B2 cloud storage. List files, audit usage, estimate cost, clean up stale data, review security posture, and manage lifecycle rules. Use when the user mentions B2, Backblaze, object storage buckets, or storage cleanup.

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Report ground-truth Claude token consumption and estimated cost by parsing JSONL session files directly. Use when checking API spend, auditing token usage by project/session/model, generating daily/weekly/monthly cost reports, or diagnosing ccusage undercounting. Includes subagent files that ccusage ignores.

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Create and maintain a product or project backlog with prioritized items, acceptance criteria, and estimates. Covers user story writing, MoSCoW prioritization, backlog grooming, item splitting, and status tracking. Use when starting a new project and converting scope into actionable items, during ongoing grooming before sprint planning, re-prioritizing after stakeholder feedback or scope changes, or splitting oversized items into implementable pieces.

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Turn a set of structures into absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion, and toxicity estimates with ADMET-AI, and read them as a developability verdict rather than a table of numbers. Use this skill to run batch prediction over a library, interpret each endpoint against its DrugBank-approved percentile, and flag the liabilities that stop a series — hERG blockade, CYP inhibition, poor Caco-2 permeability, high clearance, and plasma protein binding. Also trigger on ADMET-AI, admet_ai, Chemprop-RDKit, hERG liability, CYP3A4 inhibition, Caco-2, bioavailability prediction, or developability triage.

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Estimate how likely a protein therapeutic is to provoke an anti-drug antibody response, and locate the sequence regions responsible. Use this skill to tile a sequence into peptides, predict class II MHC presentation across a population-representative allele panel, aggregate predicted binders into a per-region and whole-molecule risk score, compare a candidate against its closest human germline, and decide which liabilities are worth deimmunising. Also trigger on immunogenicity, anti-drug antibody, ADA, T-cell epitope, MHC class II, HLA-DRB1, NetMHCIIpan, NetMHCpan, deimmunisation, tregitope, or population coverage.

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Risk Assessment & Position Sizing — volatility profile (beta/ATR/HV), historical drawdowns, correlation analysis, liquidity risk, position sizing tables (fixed %, volatility-adjusted, Kelly Criterion), and VaR estimates. Returns Risk Score (0-100, higher = safer). Triggered by "trade risk <TICKER>".

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Pre-Earnings Analysis — earnings date, analyst consensus estimates, 8-quarter historical surprise pattern, post-earnings price move history, options-implied expected move vs historical, key metrics to watch, and trade setup recommendations. Triggered by "trade earnings <TICKER>".

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Performs discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation analysis to estimate intrinsic value per share. Triggers when user asks for fair value, intrinsic value, DCF, valuation, "what is X worth", price target, undervalued/overvalued analysis, or wants to compare current price to fundamental value.

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Writes expert academic paper summaries for social science research, particularly political science and applied statistics. Use when asked to summarize, review, or create a reading summary of an academic paper, PDF, or research article. Accepts a file (PDF or text format) or a directory of papers. Produces a structured markdown summary — approximately 400–600 words — covering primary contributions, major questions and answers with point estimates, methods and data, and limitations and robustness. Includes BibTeX citation retrieved from Google Scholar and keyword metadata.

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"Apply Difference-in-Differences (DID) to estimate causal treatment effects by comparing changes in outcomes between treatment and control groups. Use this skill when the user evaluates policy interventions, natural experiments, or regulatory changes, needs to test parallel trends, or when they ask 'did this policy work', 'how do I identify causal effects without randomization', or 'what is the treatment effect'.".

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