「monte carlo」の検索結果

AiZynthFinder retrosynthetic route planning (CASP) from AstraZeneca Molecular AI. Monte Carlo tree search guided by a template-based neural expansion policy recursively disconnects a target SMILES until precursors are found in a purchasable stock. Covers config.yml (v4 format), aizynthcli batch screening, the AiZynthFinder/AiZynthExpander Python API, one-step disconnections, custom stocks via smiles2stock, scorers, Retro*/breadth-first/DFPN search alternatives, and reading output.json.gz / trees.json. Use for synthesis route planning, synthesizability screening, and building-block/precursor search. For reaction barriers use neb-irc-activation-energy; for 2D reaction scheme drawing use rdkit-chemdraw-cdxml.

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Calculate risk-adjusted cost estimates using CWICR data. Apply contingencies, Monte Carlo simulation, and probability distributions to cost estimates.

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Triage Monte Carlo alerts interactively or build an automated workflow. Fetch, score, and troubleshoot alerts using MCP tools now, or design a reusable workflow that runs on a schedule.

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Applies the reasoning of David Silver, lead researcher on AlphaGo and AlphaZero at DeepMind, to problems of AI design, reinforcement learning, and open-ended discovery. Use this skill whenever you are designing AI systems, evaluating learning algorithms, balancing exploration vs. exploitation, choosing research problems, or discussing how to break past human performance ceilings. Reach for this whenever the user asks about self-play, Monte-Carlo Tree Search, tabula rasa learning, AGI, or moving from human-curated data to autonomous experience. It helps shift the focus from hardcoding human knowledge to building systems that learn for themselves.

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Think and work like an expert Mechanical Design Engineer. Use when a task calls for Mechanical Design Engineer judgment. Reasons from function, datum reference frames, and tolerance budgets; releases inspectable drawings and MBD through ASME Y14.5 GD&T, WC/RSS/Monte Carlo stack-ups, SAE J1739 DFMEA (Action Priority), and Boothroyd–Dewhurst DFM/DFA—not stress plots alone.

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Think and work like an expert Industrial Ecologist. Use when a task calls for Industrial Ecologist judgment. Reasons from mass balance closure, in-use stocks, and system boundaries through STAN (ÖNorm S 2096), dynamic MFA with Weibull lifetime distributions, EEIO tables (EXIOBASE, USEEIO) and pedigree-scored Monte Carlo while treating non-closing residuals, re-export trade hubs, downcounted informal-sector leakage, and Kalundborg-copied symbiosis without quality-spec match as first-class failure modes.

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Think and work like an expert Computer Graphics Researcher. Use when a task calls for Computer Graphics Researcher judgment. Reasons from the rendering equation, Monte Carlo bias/variance, sampling theory, and BSDF energy conservation through pbrt-v4/Mitsuba 3 references, MIS/ReSTIR/path guiding, DXR 1.2 real-time stacks, 3DGS and NerfBaselines protocols, FLIP/ColorVideoVDP evaluation, OpenUSD/MaterialX/OpenPBR interchange, and ACES 2/OCIO color while treating unconverged references, unequal-time comparisons, denoiser and temporal-reuse bias, scene- vs display-referred color errors, and white-furnace energy failures as first-class failure modes.

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Think and work like an expert Computational Physicist. Use when a task calls for Computational Physicist judgment. Reasons from governing equations, discretization, and HPC scaling through code/solution verification, DFT, MD, Monte Carlo, and FEM/FVM workflows (VASP, LAMMPS, COMSOL, OpenFOAM, QE).

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Think and work like an expert Communications Engineer. Use when a task calls for Communications Engineer judgment. Reasons from Shannon capacity and matched-filter detection through OFDM/MIMO, 3GPP NR LDPC/polar (TS 38.212), TR 38.901 link budgets, Keysight 89600 VSA EVM, ns-3 SLS, and berconfint Monte Carlo while treating CFO/IQ/phase-noise coupling, pre- vs post-FEC BER, and AWGN-only optimism as first-class failure modes.

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Think and work like an expert Algorithms Researcher. Use when a task calls for Algorithms Researcher judgment. Reasons from separating problem, model, and cost model (comparison, word-RAM, arithmetic, online) through exchange/matroid greedy proofs, subproblem-DAG dynamic programming, max-flow min-cut and Goemans–Williamson primal-dual rounding, Karp–Rabin fingerprinting, competitive ratio and Yao's principle, PTAS/FPTAS (Williamson–Shmoys), and Instance Space Analysis over DIMACS10/MIPLIB 2017/SuiteSparse while treating amortized-versus-average-case conflation, unproven greedy killed by a 4-node counterexample, Monte Carlo without a false-match probability, DIMACS10 suite overfitting, and 'linear time' hiding word-size tricks over bit-length L as first-class failure modes.

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Use when pricing options, calculating Greeks, implementing exotic derivatives, or building pricing engines - covers Black-Scholes, binomial trees, Monte Carlo, and QuantLib integrationUse when ", " mentioned.

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Applies the reasoning of David Silver, lead researcher on AlphaGo and AlphaZero at DeepMind, to problems of AI design, reinforcement learning, and open-ended discovery. Use this skill whenever you are designing AI systems, evaluating learning algorithms, balancing exploration vs. exploitation, choosing research problems, or discussing how to break past human performance ceilings. Reach for this whenever the user asks about self-play, Monte-Carlo Tree Search, tabula rasa learning, AGI, or moving from human-curated data to autonomous experience. It helps shift the focus from hardcoding human knowledge to building systems that learn for themselves.

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Generate SQL validation notebooks for dbt changes. Pass a GitHub PR URL or local dbt repo path.

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Authors or extends a skill in mc-agent-toolkit. Gates for forbidden buckets and name collisions, applies CONTRIBUTING's extend-or-split rules, then edits a peer skill or hands off to Anthropic's skill-creator and walks the registration checklist.

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Retirement projection with Monte Carlo simulation logic. Calculates required nest egg via 4% rule and 25x expenses, projected vs needed gap, contribution recommendations, asset allocation by age, Social Security claim optimization, healthcare cost projections, and withdrawal sequence planning. Use when the user says "/finance retirement", "am I on track for retirement", "how much do I need to retire", "Social Security timing", or any retirement question.

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Quantify cyber risk using FAIR methodology with Monte Carlo simulation, assess control effectiveness against NIST CSF/CIS/ISO 27001 frameworks, evaluate risk appetite alignment, and analyze cyber insurance coverage adequacy. Covers threat landscape mapping, asset valuation, loss event frequency and magnitude estimation, annualized loss expectancy calculation, control gap analysis with ROI ranking, residual risk assessment, and insurance policy gap modeling at 90th/95th/99th percentile loss scenarios. Use when building risk registers, preparing board-level risk dashboards, evaluating security investment priorities, assessing cyber insurance coverage, or auditing any organization's risk quantification maturity per NIST RMF, ISO 27005, or FAIR standards.

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Expert guide for scaling test-time compute, dynamic reasoning token allocation (Gemini 4 Pro, Claude 5.5, GPT Astra 6), Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS), and Process Reward Models / Panduan ahli penskalaan komputasi waktu uji (test-time compute), alokasi dinamis budget penalaran, MCTS, dan Process Reward Models.

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Real-world problem formulation, mathematical abstraction, and applied mathematics for translating between practical problems and mathematical frameworks. Covers the modeling cycle (problem identification, assumptions, formulation, analysis, validation, interpretation), Polya's framework adapted for modeling, common model types (linear, exponential, logistic, periodic, power-law), dimensional analysis (Buckingham Pi theorem), optimization (linear programming, gradient descent, constraint satisfaction), probability models (Markov chains, queuing theory, Monte Carlo simulation), statistical modeling (regression, hypothesis testing, model selection), model criticism (overfitting, underfitting, sensitivity analysis), and real-world case studies. Use when formulating mathematical models, performing dimensional analysis, optimizing systems, running simulations, or evaluating model validity.

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Retroductive hypothesis sampling via MCMC: given observations, importance-sample explanations weighted by P(observation|hypothesis) using Gay.jl colored particles as hypothesis candidates.

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Builds pricing models for barrier, Asian, lookback, and other path-dependent options with Monte Carlo simulation. Use when pricing exotic options, modeling complex payoffs, or evaluating structured product components.

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Plan synthetic routes and judge whether a proposed molecule can actually be made, using AiZynthFinder's Monte-Carlo tree search over template-derived reactions and a purchasable building-block stock. Use this skill to configure expansion and filter policies, choose a stock file, run route search over a candidate set, and read the returned trees — solved fraction, route depth, and which building blocks a route bottoms out in. Also trigger on AiZynthFinder, retrosynthetic tree search, synthetic accessibility, SAscore, RAscore, building-block stock, reaction template, or route scoring.

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Design guide + benchmarked pitfalls for building Monte-Carlo / Simulated Annealing refinement layers on top of greedy hex-grid layouts for code visualization (packages/gui/src/store/hexLayout.ts, sandbox/hex-sandbox, future Rust ports). Use when: (1) planning to add MC/SA on top of an existing hex-grid pack, (2) deciding whether a simpler SA would match a hierarchical MC with force-directed + chain drag, (3) budgeting wall-clock for million-node cold-start, (4) debugging "blob turns Swiss-cheese" or "folders stop nucleating" during MC refinement, (5) choosing between folder cohesion and raw Σ-link-length as cost function. Contains four hard-won, quantified lessons and anti-patterns that would take a full day of experiments to rediscover.

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モンテカルロ・シミュレーションによる株価予測。過去のボラティリティから将来の株価分布を確率的に推定する。「モンテカルロ」「将来の株価」「株価予測」「確率的な株価」「リスク評価」「VaR」「価格分布」と聞かれたときに使用。

Assess supply chain risk exposure and resilience posture. Analyzes supplier dependency mapping (Tier 1/2/3), geographic concentration risk, single-source vulnerability, disruption scenario modeling (pandemic, trade war, port closure), Monte Carlo simulation.

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