「assumption」の検索結果

Guide teams through Lean UX Canvas v2. Use when framing a business problem, surfacing assumptions, and defining what to learn next.

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Use when challenging ideas, plans, decisions, or proposals. Invoke to play devil's advocate, run a pre-mortem, red team, stress test assumptions, audit evidence quality, or find blind spots before committing. Do NOT use for building plans, making decisions, or generating solutions — this skill only challenges and critiques. For a multi-agent panel that challenges and then commits to a verdict, use the-jury.

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Connect GenLayer Intelligent Contract decisions to ERC-7710-style delegated authority. Use when an agent needs to design the interface, message schema, relayer/bridge path, EVM revocation controller, constraint updates, proof/finality assumptions, and failure handling that turn a GenLayer agent-performance review into ERC-7710 revocation or policy changes.

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Compare options with weighted scoring, pros and cons, pre-mortems, opportunity costs, and ICE prioritization. Use when a user wants to reason through a choice, expose assumptions, or rank alternatives.

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Guided statistical analysis with test selection and reporting. Use when you need help choosing appropriate tests for your data, assumption checking, power analysis, and APA-formatted results. Best for academic research reporting, test selection guidance. For implementing specific models programmatically use statsmodels.

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Design or review identification strategy for the sewage-house-prices project. Produces strategy memos with estimand, assumptions, pseudo-code, robustness plan, falsification tests, and referee objection anticipation. This skill should be used when asked to "design the strategy", "identify the effect", "write a strategy memo", or "think through identification".

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Econometrics skill for OLS regression and linear models. Activates when the user asks about: "run OLS", "linear regression", "ordinary least squares", "interpret regression results", "heteroskedasticity", "multicollinearity", "regression assumptions", "robust standard errors", "GLS", "WLS", "fit a regression model", "check regression diagnostics", "OLS假设", "最小二乘法", "线性回归", "回归系数", "残差检验", "异方差", "多重共线性", "普通最小二乘", "稳健标准误", "回归诊断"

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Econometrics skill for Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD). Activates when the user asks about: "regression discontinuity", "RDD", "RD design", "sharp RDD", "fuzzy RDD", "running variable", "forcing variable", "cutoff", "bandwidth selection", "local linear regression", "McCrary test", "density test", "RDROBUST", "continuity assumption", "donut hole RDD", "geographic RDD", "断点回归", "回归不连续", "运行变量", "截断值", "带宽选择", "精确断点", "模糊断点", "密度检验", "局部线性回归"

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Use when the user asks to run a full empirical / causal analysis in Python — by default in the style of an applied economics paper (AER / QJE / JPE / ReStud / AEJ) with DID / RD / IV / SCM / DML / matching, written-out estimating equation + identifying assumption, Table 1 / Table 2 / event-study figure / robustness gauntlet — OR in epidemiology / public health style (target-trial emulation, IPTW + g-formula + TMLE triplet, Mendelian randomization, KM/AFT survival, E-value sensitivity, STROBE/TRIPOD reporting) — OR in ML causal inference style (DML, S/T/X/R/DR meta-learners, causal forest, Dragonnet/TARNet/CEVAE, BCF, CATE distribution, policy learning, conformal causal, fairness audit, causal discovery) — OR in distributional / gap-decomposition style (Oaxaca–Blinder `sp.oaxaca`, Kitagawa `sp.kitagawa_decompose`, DiNardo–Fortin–Lemieux `sp.dfl_decompose`, Gelbach `sp.gelbach`, Fairlie `sp.fairlie`, RIF / FFL `sp.rif_decomposition`, all reachable through the `sp.decompose` dispatcher). Also covers exporting multi-column regression tables to Word / Excel / LaTeX (Stata outreg2 / esttab / R modelsummary equivalent) and bundling an entire replication appendix into one .docx / .xlsx / .tex file. Triggers on keywords "StatsPAI", "statspai", "AER empirical analysis", "applied micro pipeline", "Table 1 balance", "event study", "first-stage F", "Oster bound", "honest_did", "spec_curve", "callaway_santanna", "dragonnet", "text as treatment", "outreg2 in Python", "regression table to Word/Excel", "sp.regtable", "sp.collect", "sp.paper_tables", "sp.feols", "summary_col", "modelsummary", "AER style table", "QJE style table", "epidemiology pipeline", "target trial emulation", "g-formula", "IPTW", "TMLE", "Mendelian randomization", "STROBE", "TRIPOD", "公共健康", "流行病学", "DML", "double machine learning", "causal forest", "meta-learner", "CATE", "conformal causal", "policy learning", "因果机器学习", "ML causal", "decomposition", "Oaxaca-Blinder", "Kitagawa", "DiNardo-Fortin-Lemieux", "DFL", "Gelbach", "RIF decomposition", "wage gap decomposition", "sp.decompose", "sp.oaxaca".

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Production-grade Bayesian causal inference with PyMC, CausalPy, and DoWhy. Enforces DAG-first thinking, mandatory user checkpoints for assumptions, design-specific refutation, and defensible reporting with causal language guardrails. Trigger on: causal inference, causal effect estimation, treatment effects, counterfactuals, difference-in-differences (DiD), synthetic control, regression discontinuity (RDD), interrupted time series (ITS), instrumental variables (IV), propensity scores, DAGs, causal graphs, confounders, backdoor criterion, do-calculus, interventional distributions, pm.do(), pm.observe(), CausalPy, DoWhy, mediation analysis, refutation, sensitivity analysis, parallel trends, placebo tests, or any question of the form "does X cause Y" or "what is the effect of X on Y."

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Use when the user explicitly wants autonomous progress without routine clarification stops: "plow ahead", "do not stop", "use your best judgment", "keep going until done", "finish while I am away", "do not ask questions unless truly blocked", or similar. Convert ordinary ambiguity into stated assumptions, proceed through implementation and validation, stop only for true blockers, and end with a clear recap of decisions, changes, verification, and residual risk.

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Models what happens to your CPA, ROAS, conversion volume, and impression share when you increase or decrease budget by any amount. Uses your actual account data and historical diminishing returns patterns, not generic industry assumptions. Platform: Google and Meta.

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Prototype one risky assumption within a fixed budget, then keep or discard the result

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Verify assumptions before implementing large or risky changes to APIs, provider data, billing, pricing, quotas, or defaults. Use when a mistake could affect customers or the user asks if a change is safe to ship. Checks real-world impact beyond passing tests.

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Creative research ideation and exploration. Use for open-ended brainstorming sessions, exploring interdisciplinary connections, challenging assumptions, or identifying research gaps. Best for early-stage research planning when you do not have specific observations yet. For formulating testable hypotheses from data use hypothesis-generation.

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Statistical analysis toolkit. Hypothesis tests (t-test, ANOVA, chi-square), regression, correlation, Bayesian stats, power analysis, assumption checks, APA reporting, for academic research.

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Open-ended scientific ideation partner. Use for research gaps, mechanism exploration, interdisciplinary connections, assumptions, possible research directions, and lightweight literature matrix or A+B paper-combination idea mapping. For structured testable hypotheses and validation plans, use hypothesis-generation instead.

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LQF Machine Learning Expert Guide - Routed skill for ML/Statistical Modeling with Critical Discussion Mode. Triggers on: machine learning, modeling, prediction, training, classification, regression, clustering, deep learning, neural network, model evaluation, feature engineering, hyperparameter tuning, overfitting, underfitting, baseline, ablation study, critique my approach, review my model, is this a good idea, should I use, what's wrong with, evaluate my solution, challenge my assumptions, discuss my approach Engages in critical discussion with minimum 3 rounds of iterative refinement. Challenges both user proposals and own suggestions with fact-based critique. Demands evidence and baselines before accepting solutions.

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Design experiments and quasi-experiments before analysis. Use when choosing study design, treatment/control structure, outcomes, assumptions, validation plans after scientific experiment failure, or which of DiD, ITS, synthetic control, or regression discontinuity fits the research question. For fitting models or estimating effects on existing data, use performing-causal-analysis instead.

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Extract report views, ratings, key assumptions and risks with sources and dates. Use when the user asks to research report breakdown with AlphaGBM. Use the bundled Python runner; never silently replace real results with demos.

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Migrate an Attio integration through a contract-led inventory, OpenAPI and documentation diff, shadow validation, canary rollout, reconciliation, and tested rollback. Use when endpoint assumptions, client versions, schemas, or integration architecture must change. Trigger with "upgrade Attio integration", "Attio migration", or "Attio API contract change".

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Build evidence-traceable market research reports and assumption-driven market sizing or forecast scenarios. Use for market definition, industry and customer evidence, competitive landscapes, TAM/SAM/SOM reconciliation, forecast sensitivity, and auditable report scaffolds.

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Apply lean thinking to UX: hypothesis-driven design, collaborative sketching, and rapid experiments instead of heavy deliverables. Use when the user mentions "Lean UX", "design hypothesis", "outcome over output", "design studio method", "assumption mapping", "lightweight research", "too much design documentation", or "get the team designing together". Also trigger when reducing design-documentation overhead, getting cross-functional teams to co-design, or running fast usability experiments. Covers hypothesis statements, MVPs for UX, and cross-functional collaboration. For Build-Measure-Learn, see lean-startup. For usability audits, see ux-heuristics.

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Design MVPs, validated learning experiments, and pivot-or-persevere decisions using Build-Measure-Learn. Use when the user mentions "MVP scope", "validated learning", "pivot or persevere", "vanity metrics", "test assumptions", "innovation accounting", "build-measure-learn", "minimum viable experiment", "should we pivot", "test a business idea cheaply", or "build the smallest version first". Also trigger when deciding what to include in a first version, measuring startup progress, or evaluating whether to change direction on a product bet. Covers innovation accounting and actionable metrics. For 5-day prototype testing, see design-sprint. For customer motivation analysis, see jobs-to-be-done.

日本語の概要は準備中です。原文の説明を表示しています。