Why expensive, wasteful, effortful, or self-deprecating actions build trust and desire — Rory Sutherland on signalling. Use when the problem is credibility or desirability rather than meaning: the user asks 'why don't people trust us', 'how do we look more credible/committed/premium', 'is our guarantee/warranty worth it', 'should we spend on brand advertising', 'how do we justify a higher price', or wonders why a cheaper-looking competitor wins. Covers costly signals (advertising spend, guarantees, over-delivery), price-as-quality-signal (Veblen goods), and the Pratfall Effect (admitting a real flaw to gain trust). Inspired by Rory Sutherland's *Alchemy*. Routed to from psycho-logic. 日本語の相談(「信頼されない」「安心してもらえない」「強気な価格で売りたい」「広告費に意味はある?」)にも使う。中文咨询(“不被信任”“想以高价出售”“广告费有意义吗?”)也适用。
market-recon
The live fieldwork layer for psycho-logic — go look at the actual target market NOW instead of reasoning from your training-data stereotype of it. Use when a psycho-logic move needs grounding in a specific place: the user asks 'what do competitors in [region/country] actually do', 'what's the real price band / norm here', 'how do local leaders position themselves', 'research this market before we localise', 'what signals trust to buyers in X', or is about to launch/adapt in a market you haven't studied. Runs structured web research in the local language — local competitors and their signals, price bands, category conventions, review/trust sources, local terminology, taboos and regulations — and synthesises a compact perception profile the four moves consume. Inspired by Rory Sutherland's *Alchemy*. Routed to from psycho-logic; pair with cultural-context (the lens that tells you what to look for). 日本語・中文の相談(「現地の実態を調べて」「调研当地市场」)にも使う。
含まれるファイル(2)
- SKILL.md6.5 KB
- evals/evals.json17.1 KB
SKILL.md(原文)
インストールする前に、エージェントに与えられる指示の中身を確認できます。
Market Recon — go look, don't assume
cultural-context gives you hypotheses about how a market thinks. This skill checks them against reality by going and looking — because your model's idea of "the German funeral market" or "how Thai buyers judge premium" is a stale average, and the cheap edge is in the specifics only local sources show. Stated stereotype is as unreliable as stated preference: gather revealed, current, sourced data.
The principle
Perception is local and current, so it has to be observed, not recalled. Two failure modes to avoid:
- Reasoning from the stereotype. "Japanese buyers value quality" is true and useless — it doesn't tell you what this category's leaders actually signal, or what the price band is this year. Go find the specifics.
- Reading the market in the wrong language. English-language summaries of a non-English market are a translation of a translation. Search in the local language, read local sources, note the words locals actually use.
What to gather (the recon checklist)
Aim each search at a lever the moves will pull:
- Local players & positioning — who leads this category in this place, how they describe themselves, what promise they lead with. (feeds reframing)
- Price band & framing — the real range, and how price is shown (per-day, all-in, tiered, hidden until contact). (feeds reframing)
- Trust signals in use — guarantees, certifications, longevity claims, awards, the local proof-of-credibility everyone leans on. (feeds costly-signaling)
- Trust locus & reviews — where buyers actually check: which review platforms, forums, associations, or personal/institutional channels. (feeds costly-signaling)
- Category conventions & taboos — the unwritten "you must / you never" of this category here, plus regulations and sacredness lines. (constrains every move)
- Felt-moment pain points — what local buyers complain about in the journey (found in reviews, forums, complaints). (feeds experience-design)
- Local terminology — the exact words buyers and sellers use, for copy that sounds native rather than translated.
How to apply
- Fix the target. Market = place (country / region / urban-rural) × segment × category. The narrower, the more useful the recon.
- Pull the hypotheses from cultural-context so you know which dials to verify, not just collect trivia.
- Run structured web searches, in the local language. Use the web tools (WebSearch / WebFetch — load via ToolSearch if not already available). Query local competitors, price pages, review sites, forums, trade/association pages, and regulator pages. Read local-language sources directly.
- Synthesise a perception profile, not a link dump: for this market — what signals trust, what "premium" and "cheap" look like, the anchors on offer, the felt-moment pains, the taboos, and the native vocabulary. A page, sourced.
- Stamp recency and cite sources. Note the date of each key fact and flag what's uncertain. Anything still a hypothesis goes to counterintuitive-tests for a cheap behavioural check before you bet on it.
- Hand the profile to the moves. reframing / costly-signaling / experience-design now run on local reality, not a guess.
日本語の使用例
- 「海外(または国内の別地域)で展開したいが、現地の実態を知らない」→ 記憶や一般論で組み立てず、現地語でWeb調査。現地の主要プレイヤー・価格帯・保証や資格などの信頼シグナル・レビューの見られ方を集め、"知覚プロファイル" に落とす。
- 「競合と横並びで差別化できない」→ まず実際の競合が何をシグナルしているかを現地情報で棚卸し。空白のポジション(誰も出していない正直な弱点開示・全部込み価格など)が見えてから reframing / costly-signaling に渡す。
- 「現地の相場観がわからない」→ 価格の"範囲"だけでなく見せ方(1日あたり/総額/段階/問い合わせまで非表示)まで調べる。価格フレームは市場ごとに違う。
- 葬儀/シニア領域:関東/関西など地域単位で慣習と相場が違う。地域の葬儀社の打ち出し、口コミ・紹介・寺や地域評判といった信頼の所在、遺族の不満(journey の痛点)を現地ソースで集め、experience-design と costly-signaling の材料にする。タブー・法規制(表示や許認可)も必ず確認。
Cross-check against the canon
Sanity-check recon findings against these; if one contradicts your read, name it and justify it.
- Paul Samuelson, revealed preference — weight what local players do (their pages, prices, signals) over what anyone says about the market.
- Steve Blank, "get out of the building" — the customer-development canon for the same instruction: facts live outside your assumptions.
- Kahneman, WYSIATI ("what you see is all there is") — the bias this skill exists to counter: a confident market picture built from the few sources you happened to see. Stamp recency, cite sources, flag gaps.
Related skills
- cultural-context — the lens that tells you which dials to verify here; run it first
- psycho-logic — the router; recon grounds its moves in the real target market
- counterintuitive-tests — turn recon's remaining hypotheses into cheap behavioural tests
- reframing / costly-signaling / experience-design — consume the perception profile this produces
レビュー
まだレビューはありません。使ってみた感想をお寄せください。
同じリポジトリのスキル
概要と使いどころ
Generate ideas that don't sound logical, then validate them with cheap behavioural experiments — Rory Sutherland's 'the opposite of a good idea can be a good idea' plus revealed-preference testing. Use when the obvious/logical solution is saturated and the user wants genuinely different options, asks 'what's a creative/unconventional angle', 'how do we stand out', 'should we run a test/experiment', 'how do we know what people actually want', or is about to trust a survey/focus group. Covers deliberate inversion of the obvious move, why stated preferences lie, and designing small reversible experiments that watch behaviour. Inspired by Rory Sutherland's *Alchemy*. Routed to from psycho-logic. 日本語の相談(「競合と同じ案しか出ない」「アンケートは好評なのに売れない」「思い切った案を安く試したい」)にも使う。中文咨询(“只能想出和竞品一样的方案”“问卷好评却卖不动”)也适用。
The perception-by-culture lens for psycho-logic — establish HOW a specific region, country, or subculture reads a signal before you send it, because perception is culturally coded and the same move can mean the opposite elsewhere. Use when adapting a product, price, message, or campaign to a new market; when the user asks 'will this work in [country/region]', 'why does this land in X but flop in Y', 'how do people here perceive Z', 'how do we localise/differentiate by region', or is about to copy a US/global playbook into another market. Covers the cultural dimensions that move Sutherland's levers — uncertainty avoidance, individualism/collectivism, status/power distance, high- vs low-context communication, mental-accounting norms, trust locus, and taboo/sacredness — and how each rewires reframing, costly-signaling, and experience-design. Inspired by Rory Sutherland's *Alchemy*. Routed to from psycho-logic; pair with market-recon for live local data. 日本語・中文の相談(「この地域で通用する?」「适合本地市场吗?」)にも使う。
Fix the psychologically significant moment, not the logically significant metric — Rory Sutherland on experience. Use when the outcome is fine but the journey feels bad: complaints about waiting, anxiety, uncertainty, or 'it's technically fast/cheap/correct but people still hate it'; when the user asks 'how do we reduce complaints', 'how do we make waiting/onboarding/checkout feel better', 'people are anxious during X', or is about to spend big to shave a number (wait time, load time, steps) when the real pain is how the moment feels. Covers uncertainty reduction, idle vs occupied waiting, and the peak-end rule. Inspired by Rory Sutherland's *Alchemy*. Routed to from psycho-logic. 日本語の相談(「待ち時間のクレームが多い」「手続きの途中で離脱される」「お客様を不安にさせている」)にも使う。中文咨询(“等待时间投诉多”“办理中途流失”“让客户感到不安”)也适用。
Rory Sutherland's 'psycho-logic' approach to marketing, product, and business problems — solve the human perception, not just the engineering or economic metric. Use when the obvious 'logical' fix is expensive, slow, or already done by every competitor; when the user asks 'how do we make people want X', 'the product/price/funnel is fine but nobody converts', 'how do we stand out', 'is there a cheaper way to fix this', or mentions behavioral economics, nudges, irrational behavior, perception, or 'it doesn't make sense but it works'. This is the ROUTER skill: it diagnoses the problem in human terms, then dispatches to reframing, costly-signaling, counterintuitive-tests, or experience-design. Inspired by Rory Sutherland's book *Alchemy*. 日本語の相談(「商品はいいのに売れない」「値下げしかない?」「競合と差別化できない」)にも使う。中文咨询(“产品很好却卖不动”“只能降价吗?”“无法差异化”)也适用。For a catalogue of individual biases, use marketing-psychology (separate plugin) instead.
Change what something MEANS before you change what it IS — Rory Sutherland's cheapest lever. Use when a product, price, feature, or message is objectively fine but feels cheap, generic, boring, overpriced, or unjustified; when the user says 'how do we make this feel more premium/valuable/exciting', 'people don't get why it's worth it', 'how do we reposition/rename/repackage this', or wants to raise perceived value without changing the product or cutting the price. Covers renaming, recategorising, mental accounting (price framing), creating artificial value, and context-shifting. Inspired by Rory Sutherland's *Alchemy*. Routed to from psycho-logic. 日本語の相談(「高いと言われる」「安っぽく見える」「値下げせずに高級感を出したい」)にも使う。中文咨询(“被说太贵”“显得廉价”“不降价也想显得高级”)也适用。